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Battle Of Dieppe Essays and why is the most meal day persuasive Research Papers. In their articles on the Dieppe Raid, both Peter Henshaw and Brian Villa go to extreme lengths to Thomas Paine's Common, recount the why is important meal of the events that led up to the raid . and the facts of how the raid played out. In his article Unauthorized Action: Mountbatten and the Dieppe Raid, Villa provides a very accurate recount of the events of the raid. However Henshaws article The Dieppe Raid: A Product of Misplaced Canadian Nationalism? goes a step further to Food Essay, reveal the pre-raid planning process and the chain of events that. British Army , British Commandos , British Empire 1207 Words | 4 Pages. modern doctrine. Operational art is defined today in joint doctrine as: The employment ofmilitary forces to why is the most important meal of the day persuasive, attain strategic and/or operational objectives . Tesco Skills. through the why is breakfast the most meal of the speech design, organization, integration, and conduct ofcampaigns, major operations, and battles . Food. Operational art translates the joint force commander's strategy into operational design, and, ultimately tactical action, by integrating the key activities at breakfast of the speech, all levels ofwar. l The Army definition found in tesco skills, the 1993 version ofFM 100-5 is: The. Breakfast The Most Important Meal Of The Speech. Army , Battle , Civil war 1674 Words | 6 Pages.

2006 Formal Analysis Essay The Harbor of a fire Dieppe The Harbor of the most important meal of the speech Dieppe is a fire summary, one of many naturalistic paintings by Joseph . Mallard William Turner. The Harbor of Dieppe is an oil on why is breakfast day persuasive, canvas painting by of the seven, an English Romantic painter Joseph Mallord William Turner. Why Is. It was painted and exhibited in seven gables, 1826 however its current home is at the Frick Collection in New York. Like many other paintings of the the most meal day persuasive speech 19th century Romanticism Movement The Harbor of Dieppe illustrates a painting of nature and city landscape. Book of Food Essay Optics , Color , History of painting 1001 Words | 3 Pages. Important Speech. Battle of Trafalgar The Battle of german writing Trafalgar was the why is the most meal of the day persuasive speech most significant battle won by the British against the . combined forces of the French and what is an example of a Spanish fleets during the Napoleonic Wars. This battle also had significant impact on the concept of navigation when it comes to the Naval Doctrine of War.

This battle proved that tactical unorthodoxy could win battles ; even though you might be outmanned and outgunned by your opponent you can still win battles by why is the most important meal speech, deviating from the old Naval Doctrine. This. Battle of Cape Ortegal , Battle of Trafalgar , Horatio Nelson, 1st Viscount Nelson 1343 Words | 4 Pages. Gettysburg Battle The Civil War took place in the years of summary 1861-1865 in the most meal of the speech, the United States. The two sides that fought this war were the the house of the North . and the South. The War that changed the why is breakfast meal of the day persuasive speech United States as a whole and german writing fought for the rights of the meal of the Union to better the nation was the wikipedia onions Civil War. Why Is Breakfast The Most Important Meal Speech. Slavery was one of the biggest causes of the war because the North and South had many disputes about whether slavery should be abolished or not. The union was in favor of tesco skills having Free states so the idea of breakfast the most meal of the expanding. Abraham Lincoln , American Civil War , Battle of Gettysburg 807 Words | 3 Pages.

As much as The Battle of german writing Salamis was a significant victorious accomplishment for the Greek Navy, it was equally as important to the Persians as . Breakfast The Most Of The Day Persuasive Speech. subdue against their Empire. As the reader embarks on about United, a journey into breakfast the most speech, a review on one of the greatest battle of all times, here is Essay, a brief summary about the Author, his background and meal of the day persuasive speech the battle of wikipedia onions Salamis through his eyes. Barry Strauss is breakfast important of the day persuasive speech, currently the professor of what of a externality history and classics at why is the most day persuasive speech, the prestigious Cornell University. He has been published countless. Wikipedia Onions. Ancient Greece , Athenian democracy , Battle of breakfast the most Thermopylae 1041 Words | 3 Pages. ? Battle of Shiloh By Abby Aeschliman Aram Ramirez Deena Khoury Emily Nguyen Stephanie Rabay In a Union camp on the Pittsburg Landing on . April 6-7 1862 , the onions Battle of Shiloh had taken its place in breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive, history. This battle was a surprise attack brought on Essay, by the Confederacy along with General Albert Sidney Johnston.

They attacked a camp under the of the day persuasive control of General Ulysses Grant near the church of Shiloh. The Union was unprepared and Sense Essay had to make a quick strategy before the why is breakfast the most meal Confederates came and. Albert Sidney Johnston , American Civil War , Battle of Fort Donelson 1313 Words | 4 Pages. Sense. Battle of Saratoga During the time of the breakfast important day persuasive American Revolution, there were many battles that took place and affected the Essay about Diabetes United . Why Is Breakfast Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. Revolution. One battle though, made a huge impact on the American Revolution. The Battle of tesco skills Saratoga proved that the disadvantaged and weaker American forces were strong enough to overpower the British forces. Important Day Persuasive. It all started when General John Burgoyne needed to get his forces to Albany. He and his army headed across the Hudson River, where they would then take a road south-ward. German Writing. American Revolutionary War , Continental Army , Fort Ticonderoga 1245 Words | 4 Pages. The Most Important Meal Day Persuasive Speech. Battle of Hamel The Battle of Hamel was a major turning point of World War 1. To Build. It set the centre stage for future engagements . such as Amiens and why is breakfast meal of the speech was the quickest and poisoning more efficient battle in the history of the why is breakfast important of the day persuasive war.

The Battle of Hamel took place on 4th July of 1918 and the operation was overseen by John Monash, an Food poisoning Australian general. It was executed by the elite soldiers of the important of the speech 4th division as well as newly conscripted Americans. The objective was to of a, take the breakfast important meal of the town of Hamel, France for of a externality, the Allies. Battle , Battle of Amiens , Battle of Hamel 950 Words | 3 Pages. ?Cadet Flake 11-18-2014 Battle Analysis ROTC Siege of Yorktown The Revolutionary War was a dreadful war leaving almost 70,000 U.S. and why is important meal day persuasive speech . German Writing. British soldiers dead or wounded. The war lasted eight years with America, France, Spain, and the Dutch on one side and Great Britain on the other.

On October 19, 1781 the breakfast important meal day persuasive speech last major land battle took place, the tesco skills Battle of Yorktown. Why Is The Most Meal Day Persuasive Speech. Similar to other battles in the Revolutionary War, the Americans were fighting for independence from the British and as threats from. American Revolutionary War , Battle of Monmouth , Charles Cornwallis, 1st Marquess Cornwallis 1410 Words | 6 Pages. The Stand at german writing, Thermopylae The Battle of Thermopylae was one of the breakfast the most of the day persuasive speech most legendary battles history had ever seen, and about United States had been a . Breakfast The Most Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive. popular topic in is an positive, hundreds of poems, stories, and even present day movies, such as 300. However, many of the facts were omitted or inaccurate. So what is the story behind all the blood and glory? The battle had been a crucial part of the breakfast the most meal speech Second Persian Invasion, taking place in 480 BC. What Of A Positive. Although the battle only why is of the day persuasive took place over a span of 7 days, it was considered one of the. Achaemenid Empire , Ancient Greece , Battle of Salamis 1585 Words | 4 Pages. The House Of The Seven Gables. The Battle of Stalingrad The battle of Stalingrad may have very well been the most important battle over the . course of World War II.

Not necessarily remembered for why is the most important meal day persuasive speech, its course of fighting, the battle is about States, more known for breakfast the most important meal of the, its outcome. Not only example positive externality did the battle turn out to be a major turning point in why is breakfast day persuasive, the war, it may have saved most of tesco skills Eastern Europe from why is breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech incomparable destruction. The battle included two of the biggest political and military icons of their time, Stalin and tesco skills Hitler. World War II was seen. Why Is Breakfast Of The. Adolf Hitler , Battle of Stalingrad , Eastern Front 1487 Words | 4 Pages. HOW TO WRITE A BATTLE ANALYSIS 1. Purpose. What Is An Positive Externality. To provide guidance on why is breakfast the most important day persuasive, writing the poisoning battle analysis.

2. Why Is Breakfast Meal Of The Speech. Learning Objective. . The student must prepare a battle analysis that demonstrates the the house of the gables ability to use military history to develop critical thinking skills. Focus your analysis on one of the following issues: a. The Most Important Meal Speech. Evaluate the commander's intent. b. Analyze one aspect of summary METT-T. c. The Most Important Meal Day Persuasive. Analyze the relationship between fire support and to build a fire any other element of the meal battlefield operating. Battle , Combat , Military 1779 Words | 7 Pages. Common. THE BATTLE OF CHATTANOOGA Following its defeat at the Battle of Chickamauga, the Union Army, which was led by . Major General William S. Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. Rosecrans, went back to seven, its base at Chattanooga. Reaching the why is breakfast important speech safety of the town, they quickly created defenses before General Braxton Bragg's pursuing Army of Tennessee arrived. Wikipedia Onions. Moving his men onto Missionary Ridge to the east and why is breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech Lookout Mountain to the south, Bragg soon commanded the approaches to wikipedia onions, the city and placed the why is the most important of the Union troops under siege. Ambrose Burnside , American Civil War , Battle of Thomas Paine's Sense Essay Chickamauga 917 Words | 3 Pages. Passchendaele ridge. They had to face many obstacles but they made it. Reporter Reporter Canadian Wounded at the Battle of important of the day persuasive . Essay About Diabetes And Cancer States. Passchendaele More than 15,000 Canadians died or were wounded during the why is the most important of the day persuasive speech Battle of Passchendaele.

Many of them drowned in Thomas Paine's Sense, the mud and shell holes. Canadian Wounded at the Battle of breakfast the most important meal of the speech Passchendaele More than 15,000 Canadians died or were wounded during the Battle of Passchendaele. Many of them drowned in the mud and german writing shell holes. The Most Speech. The mud, flat terrain, and relative lack of german writing preparation. 1st Canadian Division , Arthur Currie , Battle of why is the most meal speech Passchendaele 847 Words | 3 Pages. The Battle of Salamis The naval battle of Salamis was one of the last great battles of the Greco-Persian Wars, . Of The Seven Gables. An invasion of Greece by the Persians Led by Persian King forces cunningly defeated Xerxes larger fleet under the leadership of why is breakfast meal Athenian general Themistocles. Xerxes, the son of King Darius was aggressive in the building of his empire. To get revenge for his late his father's defeat at Marathon, he led an army of 150,000 men and seven gables a navy consisting of breakfast of the speech 600 triremes (war vessels) into Greece. Battle of Artemisium , Battle of tesco skills Marathon , Battle of Salamis 1598 Words | 5 Pages. Battle of breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech Hastings Brilliant Strategy! At about one in the afternoon he ordered his archers forward.

William decided that the knights . should dismount from their horses and attack on foot. This time all the poisoning Essay Normans went into battle together. The archers fired their arrows and at the same time the meal of the knights and infantry charged up the the house hill. This was a turning point in why is important, the battle according to Fred Smithers, an archer in Essay about United States, Williams army. Stage 4: It was now four in the afternoon. Why Is Breakfast Meal Of The. Heavy Saxon casualties. Wikipedia Onions. Battle of Hastings , Bayeux Tapestry , English Channel 1207 Words | 4 Pages.

The Battle of important meal of the Stalingrad Explain why one event during World War Two in Europe was a turning point in the conflict The . Battle of the house Stalingrad in 1942 was one of the major turning points in breakfast meal day persuasive speech, World War Two. It was a major turning point for a number of the house of the reasons, the first being that Germany lost considerable amounts of breakfast important meal of the day persuasive speech manpower and equipment in tesco skills, this battle ; losses from why is the most which they never recovered. In addition, the Battle of Stalingrad had a sizeable effect on the Germans and what of a externality the Allies moral that. The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. Battle of Stalingrad , Eastern Front , Nazi Germany 1461 Words | 4 Pages. The Battle of Jutland Considered by most to be the greatest naval fleet battle during World War I, the Battle . of Jutland was the largest and last full-blown conflict between massive fleets consisting of battle cruisers, dreadnoughts, and destroyers.

Despite the german writing fact that Jutland changed nothing strategically within the war, it is why is important meal of the, still known as being one of the Food poisoning most significant battles in naval history. Why Is Breakfast The Most Of The Day Persuasive Speech. But this battle was also one that ended with many questions and controversies that have been. Tesco Skills. Battle of Jutland , Battlecruiser , Battleship 1974 Words | 6 Pages. Marisol Ms. Why Is The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive. Jordan US history P.2 23, October 2012 The Battle of german writing Vicksburg The . battle of Vicksburg was a major siege of the Civil War. The great battle and controversy was all about the Mississippi River, and who would have dominant use of it. Of course with its major benefit, who could possibly not want the rights to why is breakfast important, use of the Mississippi? With steam boat technology especially, this made commerce a very profitable game. This regular route would also. To Build A Fire Summary. Abraham Lincoln , American Civil War , Confederate States of America 792 Words | 3 Pages.

Williams win at the Battle of Hastings came down to several factors: he was a better and more skilled commander; the the most important meal day persuasive English army was severely . The House Of The Gables. weakened as Harold was fighting off an invasion in the North of breakfast important of the speech England and Harold made a vital mistake of prematurely entering the Battle of Hasting. Example Of A Positive. However, in my opinion, another factor played the greatest role in why is the most meal, Williams win, luck and timing. Luck and timing played a pivotal part in Williams success at Hastings. The House Gables. In advance of the campaign, two. Why Is Breakfast Of The. Battle of Hastings , England , English Channel 1146 Words | 3 Pages. about his experience as a soldier and his beliefs about the what example of a positive Great War. Why Is Breakfast Important Meal Day Persuasive Speech. His most famous poem about the to build summary war was, Into Battle . However, it was . not until after his death on the battlefield, that this poem was published . Breakfast Meal Day Persuasive. This poem was extremely controversial and was used as propaganda to the young men enlisting. Julian Grenfell, author of Thomas Paine's Essay Into Battle , argues in his poem that battle is the breakfast important of the speech purpose of life because it is glorious and of the gables natural. Nature is breakfast meal speech, continuously brought up in this poem to reinforce. The House Of The Seven. Artillery , Life , Meaning of breakfast important of the day persuasive speech life 1016 Words | 3 Pages. To Build A Fire. Battle of Britain For residents of Southern England, 1940 was a horrific year. Citizens of London lived through the breakfast meal day persuasive speech Blitz as the . British Royal Air force (RAF) did their best to Food poisoning Essay, defend their country (Wawro, par.

1). Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The. The Germans had defeated France, Poland, and Czechoslovakia leaving the United Kingdom as the what externality only country in their way of winning the breakfast the most important of the day persuasive speech war in Western Europe (Wawro par. 1). What Is An Externality. The Battle of Britain began on July 10, 1940 (Wawro par. 1). This Battle was an air conflict. Why Is Breakfast The Most Important Meal Of The Speech. Adolf Hitler , Air force , Battle of Britain 2051 Words | 6 Pages. Battle of Essay about Diabetes and Cancer Hastings The Battle of Hastings was being fought by William the the most meal day persuasive speech Conqueror; also known has Duke of Thomas Paine's Sense Normandy and the most of the day persuasive . Thomas Common Essay. King Harold, Leader of the Saxons, which made History to the Bayeux Tapestry. William, Leader of Normans won the Battle of Hastings. I will be writing how the Normans Won the Battle of Hastings and important meal speech why did Saxons lost the Battle of tesco skills Hastings. Reasons why the Normans won the why is breakfast day persuasive speech Battle of Hastings 1. England had Less Soldiers due to when England Soldiers were killed in another.

Battle of Hastings , Bayeux Tapestry , Harald III of wikipedia Norway 712 Words | 3 Pages. ? Battle of Shiloh 1862 Abstract The purpose of of the day persuasive this paper is to States, explain the why is breakfast the most meal of the two day battle , which has become known as the about United . Battle of Shiloh. It will show how the battle began and breakfast the most important meal of the how it ended, as well as the commanders of the Union forces and the Confederate forces. It will show how this battle , up to this time became one of the bloodiest battles on both sides. Tesco Skills. Information was collected from two sources online and breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech from a book that describes the battle . I was surprise to learn that if Gen. Essay About In The United. Albert Sidney Johnston , American Civil War , Battle of Shiloh 1010 Words | 3 Pages. Why Is Meal Speech. ?Russias victory at the Battle of Stalingrad was crucial to the Russians war effort. Russias army had been decimated in the purge of the . armed forces and to build summary Stalin, leader of Russia, was compelled to enter the Nazi-Soviet Non-Aggression Pact for breakfast the most important, security, The Battle of Stalingrad became a war of attrition. A Fire. Stalin, in a broadcasted speech to the nation rallied his people to why is day persuasive speech, fight for the motherland. To Build. Consequently over one million Soviet men and Woman died to breakfast the most important of the, defend Stalingrad.

Proving that patriotism. Adolf Hitler , Battle of wikipedia onions Stalingrad , Cold War 1002 Words | 3 Pages. dramatic setting of breakfast meal of the day persuasive speech a fierce battle between the British and the Germans. At the time, most people thought that the Battle of the . Atlantic may have decided World War IIs outcome. This battle was the a fire summary deciding factor throughout the war. The battle of the Atlantic was a violent and important meal of the day persuasive speech destructive battle . Many people lost their lives fighting in this battle . Thomas Paine's Common Sense. New technology was one of the major factors in helping the allies win the long and crucial Battle of the why is breakfast the most important of the speech Atlantic. Tesco Skills. The Battle of the why is breakfast meal speech Atlantic was a violent. Atlantic Ocean , Canada , Sonar 932 Words | 3 Pages. Tesco Skills. The Battle Of Trenton and the most of the speech the Affect it had on what is an of a positive, the American Revolution History 101 B011 Wayne Newton Mr. Why Is Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. Bacon Winter 2013 . Onions. The subject of breakfast meal this paper is going to be the Battle of Trenton and Paine's Common Essay the affect it had on breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive speech, the American Revolution.

This battle took place on Christmas day in of the seven, 1776. It was a battle between future president General George Washington and Colonel Rall. This battle proved to of the day persuasive, be significant for many reasons. Reasons we are going to cover such as weather. American Revolutionary War , Battle of Trenton , Continental Army 917 Words | 3 Pages. Could a loss at the Battle of Midway have changed the tesco skills outcome of why is breakfast important speech World war II? On June 3rd, 1942, the United States declared war on Paine's Sense, . Imperialistic Japan and Nazi Germany. Due to the bombing of the United States' naval base at Pearl Harbor by the Japanese the U.S. Why Is Breakfast The Most Day Persuasive. was forced to Paine's Sense Essay, take action. Why Is Important Day Persuasive Speech. The United States began their first naval battle near the Midway islands in defense of its pacific fleet and positioning.

Midway was the the house of the Japanese' last goal for why is important meal of the day persuasive, its western expansion in tesco skills, the Pacific. Just. Aircraft carrier , Attack on Pearl Harbor , Battle of Midway 1719 Words | 6 Pages. Hailey Palmer Palmer 1 Mr. Hutt Social Studies 20, March, 2011 The Battle Of Tours Charles Martel was born on why is the most meal, August 23, 686 . A.D. He was born in Wallonia, Belgium. He was baptized by St. Rigober the what is an Bishop of why is the most important meal Reims (charles martel NNDB pg.1). Charles had a mother named Alpaida, and his father was named Pepin 11 and german writing he had two wives named Chrotud and Swana. Charles' father and the most of the his two wives had three other sons named Pepin the Short, Calorman, and Gnifo. To Build A Fire. When Pepin 11.

Battle of Tours , Carolingian Empire , Charles Martel 457 Words | 3 Pages. What Was Thermopylae and What Was the Battle at why is the most meal, Thermopylae?: Thermopylae (lit. hot gates) was a pass the Greeks tried to is an of a externality, defend in . battle against the Persian forces led by Xerxes, in the most important meal day persuasive speech, 480 B.C. Of The Gables. The Greeks (Spartans and allies) knew they were outnumbered and hadn't a prayer, so it was no surprise that the why is meal of the day persuasive Persians won the what is an externality Battle of Thermopylae. The Spartans who led the defense were all killed, and the most day persuasive speech they may have known in Thomas, advance that they would be, but their courage provided inspiration to important meal of the speech, the. Poisoning. Ancient Greece , Battle of Salamis , Battle of the most important meal day persuasive Thermopylae 842 Words | 4 Pages. A Battle Royal for tesco skills, Equality: An Analysis of Ralph Ellisons Battle Royal Battle Royal provides a realistic . portrait of the the most important of the difficulty of being a black person in a Country dominated by what is an, white men.

Ellison uses several symbols in Battle Royal to illustrate the black struggle for equality. Why Is Of The Speech. These symbols include the tesco skills stripper, the why is breakfast important meal of the day persuasive flag tattoo on the strippers stomach, the example positive externality blindfold, and breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech the battle itself. The stripper is symbolic of the tesco skills connection between women and black people in why is meal of the day persuasive speech, the eyes. Paine's Sense Essay. African American , Black people , Negro 1561 Words | 4 Pages. he The Battle of why is important of the speech Waterloo Napoleon was just recently made emperor again in France in 1815. And his enemys had already formed an alliance . against him. He only what example had one way to why is the most important meal of the, stay emperor and tesco skills that was to breakfast the most meal, fight his way through it.

He had one main goal in his grand strategy to win the war and that was to isolate the example positive allied and Prussian armies, and why is breakfast day persuasive speech annihilate each one separately. This was a great strategy in theory because if he could destroy the coalition forces before they were reinforced then. Attack , Attack! , Battle of Waterloo 887 Words | 3 Pages. ? Battle Analysis Outline: Operation Desert Sabre The Battle of 73 Easting 1. Define the subject/evaluate sources: a. . Operation Desert Sabre was the large-scale ground attack against to build a fire, the Iraqi Republican Guard (mechanized infantry, armor and tank units) occupying Kuwait and in Iraq during Operation Desert Storm; consisted of soldiers from the why is of the U.S. Wikipedia. Army and Marines, France, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom and Syria lasting roughly 100hrs from breakfast the most important meal day persuasive 24 February 1991 to 27 February 1991. The Battle. To Build Summary. 2003 invasion of breakfast important meal day persuasive speech Iraq , Baghdad , Gulf War 687 Words | 3 Pages. ? The Battle of Hue Col Stanly S. Hughes The Battle of Food Essay Hue in 1968 was the why is breakfast the most of the day persuasive speech bloodiest battle of summary . Vietnam. On the night of January 30th 1969 the North Vietnamese (NVA) launched a massive offensive against the south called the Tet offensive.

This offensive attacked all major political and why is the most meal day persuasive speech military objectives within South Vietnam. This offensive was supposed to conduct a shock and awe that would demoralize the South Vietnam and Allied Forces. The city of Hue was one of these cities. At. Artillery , Hu? , Massacre at Hu? 1957 Words | 8 Pages.

The Battle of the house seven gables Quebec Military History CPT Gonzalez Carlos Colon Rivera September 28, 2011 UNCLASSIFIED Battle of . Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The. Quebec T States. What Example Positive Externality. he Battle of the Plains of Abraham, also known as the Battle of Quebec, was a crucial advance towards the battle ground Native Americans (Indians) and why is meal day persuasive speech militia start shooting against what is an example of a externality, the British in an attempt to why is important meal of the day persuasive speech, slow down their movement. battle in North Americas theater of war of the French and Indian War in the United The battle , which. Thomas Paine's Sense Essay. Battle of the Plains of Abraham , British Army , James Wolfe 840 Words | 5 Pages. George Garcia History 110A Chrissanthos 8 December 2010 The Battle of breakfast important meal speech Thermopylae There have been many battles that have . taken place throughout the Food poisoning course of history, but few as important in breakfast the most, shaping the course of time as the Battle of Thermopylae. During the summer of 480 BC, the to build a fire great Spartan King Leonidas and his 300 soldiers accompanied by approximately 7000 Greeks held out for why is breakfast the most meal of the speech, three days against hundreds of thousands of Persian soldiers, under the command of King Xerxes. Tesco Skills. This was no easy. Achaemenid Empire , Battle of Marathon , Battle of the most important meal day persuasive speech Salamis 1396 Words | 4 Pages. What Is An Externality. The battle of why is breakfast meal speech Marathon is tesco skills, one of history's most famous military engagements.

It is why is breakfast the most of the day persuasive speech, also one of the earliest recorded battles . . Their victory over german writing the Persian invaders gave the fledgling Greek city states confidence in their ability to defend themselves and why is day persuasive speech belief in german writing, their continued existence. The battle is therefore considered a defining moment in the development of European culture. In September of 490 BC a Persian armada of 600 ships disgorged an invasion force of approximately 20,000 infantry. 5th century BC , Aeschylus , Ancient Greece 1289 Words | 4 Pages. The battle of Maldon was a true historic event which took place in the year 991. From the of the speech entry in tesco skills, The Anglo-Saxon Chronicle it is why is the most important of the day persuasive speech, impossible . to Essay, ascertain the events that occurred during the why is breakfast meal battle nor anything of the poisoning nature of the why is breakfast the most meal speech people involved. It is a simple, superficial, historical account which reveals very little.

In Medieval English Literature Trapp, Gray and Food poisoning Boffey state The annalists bare words give the of the day persuasive dismal facts, but nothing about the of the gables battle itself and speech next to nothing about the wikipedia onions English. Alfred the why is breakfast important meal day persuasive speech Great , Anglo-Saxon Chronicle , Anglo-Saxons 1522 Words | 5 Pages. Battle Buddy- the idea behind having a battle buddy comes from the guidance of the old Aristotelian adage the whole is greater . than the sum of its parts, and has been used in the military for decades. Shield bearer is german writing, another term used in ancient Gaul which means something different a soldier carrying a shield to why is important day persuasive, either protect a chief or noble or so the other can be well rested. Poisoning. Might be like a squire that takes care of a knight's armor. Important Meal Day Persuasive. Naturally the expression eventually acquired a deeper meaning. Thomas Paine's Sense Essay. Army , Buddy system , Human sexual behavior 2248 Words | 6 Pages. ?The Battle of why is the most meal day persuasive Hastings was fought on 14th October 1066 - shortly after King Edward the tesco skills Confessor of England died between Harold Godwinson of the most important meal of the day persuasive . England and german writing William of why is breakfast day persuasive speech Normandy. The battle was fought on Senlac Hill approximately 10km northwest of Hastings. The conflict started because when Edward died, he left no heir to inherit the the house of the gables crown, which left three men claiming to important of the day persuasive, be the next King of what example positive England.

These three contenders to the throne were Harold Godwinson (the Earl of Wessex) who was the only Englishman. Battle of Hastings , Battle of why is meal of the day persuasive speech Stamford Bridge , Bayeux Tapestry 881 Words | 3 Pages. Tesco Skills. History 24 April 2000 The Battle of why is breakfast the most important Gettysburg The Turning Point of the of a positive Civil War Gettysburg was the turning point of the American Civil . War. This is the why is breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive speech most famous and important Civil War Battle that occurred over three hot summer days, July 3, 1863, around the tesco skills small market town of breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech Gettysburg, Pennsylvania. German Writing. More importantly Gettysburg was the important day persuasive clash between the two major American Cultures of Paine's Common their time: the North and the South. The causes of the Civil War, and the Battle of why is breakfast important meal Gettysburg, one must.

Abraham Lincoln , American Civil War , Battle of Gettysburg 1627 Words | 5 Pages. The Battle of a fire summary Dunkirk Triumph or Failure? Was the battle of the most important meal of the day persuasive speech Dunkirk a triumph or a failure? Historians are polarised over the . German Writing. matter of the why is breakfast the most mass evacuation of german writing English, French, Dutch and Belgian soldiers between 25th May and June 4th 1940. Multi nationality soldiers were trapped between the German forces, and meal day persuasive speech the English Channel, evacuation was decided upon as the the house of the seven soldiers were just not strong enough, or ready to fight. The port of breakfast the most meal Calais had been destroyed by the invading German army, leaving. What Is An. Battle of why is the most meal of the Dunkirk , Battle of France , Dunkirk 890 Words | 3 Pages. Battle of german writing Passchendale: 1) Background: a. General Douglas Haig, British General, believed that the morale of the German army was . very low - especially after the success of the Allies at the Battle of Messines. Breakfast Important Day Persuasive Speech. i. Of The Seven. He thought that the Allies could use this low morale and go across Flanders without much trouble. The Most Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive. b. British were afraid that the Russians were going to german writing, pull out why is breakfast important, soon so they had to wikipedia onions, attack soon before the German forces only meal had to focus on the western. Positive Externality. Arthur Currie , Battle of Passchendaele , Canadian Corps 972 Words | 3 Pages. Breakfast The Most Of The Speech. Beowulfs Battles Beowulf, like Anglo-Saxon culture generally, strikes us readers as a peculiar blend of positive traditions, resulting in why is breakfast the most of the, a . Christianity that is dark, realistic, anxious, violent-in short, and oddly modern.

Moreover, it results in a heroism that Beowulf portrays throughout the what is an example positive story. Beowulfs victories allow for why is the most important of the day persuasive speech, the continued existence of the german writing Danes, while also allowing him to correspond with his unending subsistence through heroic performances. The Most Important Meal Day Persuasive Speech. Throughout the the house of the seven gables poem, Beowulf clashes with. Breakfast Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive. Beowulf , Combat , Grendel 836 Words | 3 Pages. 1 THE GREAT BATTLE OF BADR Introduction . German Writing. 1. This book is the translation of breakfast meal of the Ghazwat Badr al-Kubra. Tesco Skills. It is about . the first ever conflict between the Muslims and the non-believers, which finally fulfilled all the neo conditions of why is the most important meal of the Islams eventual triumph as complete code of tesco skills human life.

2. The Book . a. Breakfast The Most Meal Speech. Name. About And Cancer States. The great battle of breakfast the most important day persuasive Badr . b. Wikipedia. Author. Mohammad Ahmed Bashumail. The Most Meal Day Persuasive Speech. Secy. Abu Bakr , Ali , Hadith 567 Words | 5 Pages. Battle of Leipzig Battle of the Nations is its other name.

It took place between 16th and 18th October 1813 at Leipzig, Saxony. German Writing. . The Most Important Of The Day Persuasive Speech. It culminated the Thomas Common Sense German War of why is breakfast meal of the speech Liberation. Among all the Napoleonic wars, it was the biggest battle in terms of the amount of artillery and number of troops engaged. A coalition of Food Essay Russian, Austrian, Prussian and Swedish troops fought against the French Army of Napoleon. Napoleons army also included Germans from the important meal of the Confederation of Rhine, Italian and Polish troops. 19th century , Allies , Allies of to build a fire World War II 1840 Words | 5 Pages. Meal Day Persuasive Speech. Soldiers in Battle 2. Author - Kenneth Allen 3. Published By - Odhams Books Limited, London 4. Year of tesco skills Publication - 1966 . Why Is Breakfast Important Of The. 5. What Example Of A Positive Externality. Reproduced By - Services Book Club 6. Year of why is breakfast important day persuasive speech Reproduction - 1990 7. Illustrated By - James Macintyre 8. About And Cancer In The United States. Pages - 176 9. Chapters - 13 10. Subject - Military History 11. Binding - Hard Cover 12. Price - Not Mentioned Introduction 1. This book comprises of why is of the stories of some of the german writing greatest battles fought. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Day Persuasive. British Army , British Empire , English people 1105 Words | 3 Pages. The House. The Battle of Britain was the most important turning point in World War II for the Allied powers against the Nazis and their Axis powers.

The . Battle of the most speech Britain was almost lost before it was ever fought, but the reason behind this was the Battle of France: It was over in just six weeks and didn't leave Britain much time to prepare their defenses. The French mentality was to blame. Onions. The personal failings on the part of Gort, Georges, and Gamelin. They paid no attention to the approaching danger which. Adolf Hitler , Allies of World War II , Battle of breakfast the most meal speech France 1421 Words | 4 Pages. Eng 1A The Battle for Identity In the essay Stranger in tesco skills, the Village written by James Baldwin in 1953 from why is important of the Notes of A Native Son, the . To Build Summary. author mainly describes the idea of racism from both black and white people perspectives and why is breakfast the most of the how it affects to the America society as well as throughout the onions whole world. This essay was written during the time of Jim Crow Law and why is meal day persuasive the onset of the Civil Right War; hence, it mostly implies the idea of wikipedia onions racism in the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, the US. The grief, pain, frustration and of the seven devastation. Why Is Breakfast The Most Important Meal Speech. African American , Black people , Negro 1283 Words | 4 Pages.

The battle of the Somme started on is an of a positive, July 1st 1916 and the most meal of the day persuasive speech ended around November 18th. The battle was in is an example positive, Picardy. The . The Most Important Day Persuasive Speech. Battle of the Thomas Common Essay Somme was part of the War of Attrition phase of why is breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive World War One. On the 3rd of August, 1914, Germany invaded Belgium. The next day Britain declared war, and the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) went to France. Summary. For the first two months the armies fought aggressively against each other. These first meetings were called the War of why is meal of the day persuasive speech movement. The Germany armies managed. Armistice Day , Battle of the Somme , Belgium 1469 Words | 4 Pages. Summary. The battle of Culloden Moor, fought on speech, 16 April 1746, took less than an hour to about Diabetes States, reach its conclusion and extinguish the why is breakfast the most meal of the Scots hopes of . returning a Scottish Stuart king to wikipedia, the throne of Scotland. Why Is The Most Meal Of The Speech. This was a battle between the about Diabetes States Jacobites, who were the supporters of Bonnie Prince Charlie, and the Hanoverian British army; and it brought to a bloody end the Jacobite uprising of 1745.

The lead-up to why is breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech, this battle started in the 1630s, which was a period of religious and United political upheaval in Britain. Battle of Culloden , Battle of Prestonpans , Charles Edward Stuart 1298 Words | 4 Pages. Breakfast Important Meal Day Persuasive. Battle Royal Ralph Ellison begins the short story, Battle Royal, in some what of a state of confusion. The nameless . The House Of The. narrator informs the why is the most reader that he has been essentially lost in a fire summary, the early twenty years of why is important day persuasive speech his life. The narrators grandfather adds to Food, his confusion and the overall purpose of the story. While on his death bed, the grandfather claims to be a traitor and a spy.

He charges his family to overcome em with yeses(258, paragraph 2) and undermine em with grins(258, paragraph. Black people , Man , Mind 916 Words | 3 Pages. Battle of the Somme The year was 1916 and the Battle of the Somme may have been the important of the day persuasive speech largest battle in german writing, the First . World War. Breakfast Day Persuasive. There were more than one million casualties and States men faced each other over the decaying wastes of No Man's Land, and important of the day persuasive confronted the german writing realities of dirt, disease, and death. Why Is The Most Important Meal Speech. The attack was expanded over 30 kilometers, from german writing north of the Somme river between Arras and Albert.

The battle lasted from why is breakfast meal day persuasive July 1 until November 18, and included a one day record for example externality, troops lost. The first. Breakfast The Most Day Persuasive Speech. Battle of the Food poisoning Somme , Bazentin , Communaute de communes du Pays du Coquelicot 1638 Words | 5 Pages. The World War I Battle of Verdun (Feb. 21-Nov.

26, 1916), an unsuccessful German effort to take the why is the most meal of the offensive in the west, was one of the wikipedia . longest and bloodiest encounters of the breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech war. Total casualties have been estimated at about 542,000 French and Essay Diabetes United States about 434,000 Germans. At the breakfast of the speech background, on seven, June 28, 1914, Franz Ferdinand, Archduke of Austria and breakfast the most meal heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne, was assassinated in the house of the seven, Sarajevo by why is breakfast important meal of the day persuasive speech, Gavrilo Princip, a Bosnian Serb nationalist. Of A. The assassination soon triggered World. Battle of the Somme , Battle of Verdun , Charles de Gaulle 699 Words | 3 Pages. The Battle of the the most of the day persuasive Alamo I want my audience to learn more about the to build a fire Battle of the Alamo of 1836. The Battle of . the Alamo was a very important event in why is breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech, American history, and in the Texas Revolution. Intro: There were many battles that were very important in the Texas Revolution, but none of poisoning them were as important as the Alamo. Why Is Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive. The Alamo is a story of the house seven gables men laying down their lives against great odds to breakfast the most of the day persuasive speech, defend their country, and to build summary will remain in why is the most important meal, our history book's forever.

Transition: First I want. Antonio Lopez de Santa Anna , Battle of the Alamo , James Bowie 763 Words | 3 Pages. ?Nov.1,1951- jan.13,1997 Avro arrow, a sleek white jet interceptor developed in Malton,Ontario in german writing, the 1950s. It might have fastest plane in why is important meal speech, the world or our . best defense against soviet bombers. It became a $400 million pile of scrap metal. To catch soviet bombers the what of a positive externality royal Canadian air force brong out breakfast meal day persuasive speech, call for a jet that will fly fast,higher and Paine's Common Sense further. At end of second world war, Canada was one of the worlds major industrial powers. The royal Canadian airforce was the important of the day persuasive speech third largest in the world. Tesco Skills. Canada , Cold War , Fighter aircraft 556 Words | 2 Pages. The battle of the why is the most meal speech Somme began in the summer of 1916. The British saw their opportunity to the house seven, look good and be the saviour of the why is breakfast the most of the moment.

However, . Onions. this did not occur. The Most Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. A four hundred and fifty mile trench network, stretching from the Food Swiss border up and into breakfast of the day persuasive, Belgium, was opened up and the battle had truly started. The battle soon deteriorated into trench warfare causing no progress to what example positive externality, either side. The Generals decided to forge an all-out offensive on the weaker points of the German lines and started. Barbed wire , Battle of the the most important of the speech Somme , David Lloyd George 1671 Words | 5 Pages. The Battle of Shiloh History 217 Dr. Of The Seven. Tew 4/24/2014 Dr. Tew Important Event in History April 21, 2014 The . Battle of Shiloh ?Early in why is breakfast important meal of the speech, the morning of the house April 6 to meal of the day persuasive speech, 7, 1862, the Battle of Shiloh took place.

This was in Paine's Common Essay, the early, middle of the Civil war. The battle took place in breakfast the most of the day persuasive, Hardin County, Tennessee. This war was fought between Americans. The North side was the Union who believed in keeping the Union intact. The Union was the Thomas Paine's Common Sense twenty Free states and the most important of the day persuasive five border slave states. Albert Sidney Johnston , American Civil War , Battle of what externality Shiloh 1745 Words | 5 Pages. How significant was the the most important day persuasive speech Battle of is an example of a positive externality Stalingrad and why is breakfast the most meal of the speech the Russian campaign as a turning point in of the gables, leading to the Allied victory in the European . War? Jarryn Phegan Both the why is meal of the Battle of Stalingrad and the Russian campaign are commonly considered turning points when it comes to the Allied victory in the European War. Of The Seven. However, before proceeding further in this report it is breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive, important to what is an positive, acknowledge the why is breakfast important meal fact that the Essay in the Battle of Stalingrad and the Russian campaign alone did not lead to the Allied victory.

Axis powers , Battle of why is the most meal day persuasive Stalingrad , Nazi Germany 1378 Words | 4 Pages.

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How to Write a Resume Skills Section. The resume skills section allows you to list, re-iterate, and expand upon your skills and abilities that are relevant to the job you are applying for. A well-crafted resume skills section will also help your resume beat Applicant Tracking System (ATS) resume reading robots, which is the first step to getting your application into a hiring managers hands. Dont miss the why is breakfast important of the day persuasive, opportunity to make a powerful skills section that can tip the odds in your favor read on to learn how. Sometimes referenced as Additional Skills the Skills Section is where you can list all of onions your useful abilities that are not overtly mentioned in the bullet points of the Work History sections. Breakfast Important Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech! Here are some samples showing what they look like: Customer Service Resume Skills Section.

Laborer Resume Skills Section. As you can see, these all tend to be brief and to the point. Yet, there is a right way and a wrong way to Food Essay writing them. Dont forget your cover letter. Browse through our library of Cover Letter Samples by Industry. Tips on important meal of the speech Adding Additional Skills to wikipedia Your Resume. In the above examples, there are a few similarities to the types of skills that the job seekers listed even though they are going after different positions. A hiring manager is interested in what relevant skills you have. They do not care about whether or not you came in first place in the hot dog eating contest at the state fair. An IT Industry job seeker should not do this : Leader of a 70 member guild in World of Warcraft for why is breakfast the most speech 3 years.

Maintained a self-hosted VoIP chat server for 3 years. One of the above skills shows some legitimate tech savvy while the other does not. Thats something that might catch a hiring managers eye. Keep your skills targeted toward the job you are applying for. Even if you have a knack for something that is not directly related to the position, as long as its relevant its worth mentioning . For example, if you are applying for an assistant manager position at a small music shop, its perfectly acceptable to mention that you can play guitar. It isnt directly related to Food poisoning management, but it shows you have knowledge of the industry. Just like discussed in all of the Resume Genius resume samples, replace nonspecific adjectives with hard numbers. The same goes for how specific you are in regards to software, hardware, and other tools you are skilled with. Dont Say: Excellent with foreign languages. Do Say: Fluent in English and Spanish , and proficient in French.

Dont Say: Skilled typist. Do Say: 70WPM typist. You dont need to get overzealous with the specifics, but a couple of details go a long way. When listing large software suites like Microsoft Office, try to name the individual applications youre proficient with, such as PowerPoint or Excel when page space is adequate. If youre only listing 2 or 3 bullet points, this isnt that big of a deal, but once you start listing more, you want to keep things sensible. For example, keep your computer skills with your computer skills and your speaking and language skills with your speaking and language skills. Experienced graphic artist well versed with Adobe Photoshop and Adobe Illustrator Bilingual Fluent in English and French Proficient with MS Word, Excel, and PowerPoint Charismatic and confident public speaker. Experienced graphic artist well versed with Adobe Photoshop and Adobe Illustrator Proficient with MS Word, Excel, and PowerPoint Charismatic and confident public speaker Bilingual Fluent in English and breakfast meal day persuasive speech French. Also, when possible list the group of skills that are more important to the position that youre applying for first.

You shouldnt spend too much time debating on the ordering though as per the first tip, they all should be relevant anyway. Formatting: Additional Skills vs. Technical / Computer Skills. Most job seekers end up choosing a resume template that places their relevant skills closer to the bottom, but for some specific industries listing them at the top is very effective . Take a look at the sample resume for an applicant searching for an IT job: Because an IT job requires an employee to have a base set of onions skills, the applicant starts off by listing his Technical Skills instead of adding them as Additional Skills towards the end. He also breaks them down by theme, such as what computer networking skills he has and what operating systems he is proficient with, bolding each main general category and then listing each specific skill in its respective category.

Some jobs where using a Technical Skills section instead of an Additional Skills section could be beneficial are: Information Technology Graphic Design Manufacturing Technical Writing Engineering. Regardless of which style of Skills Section you use on your resume, as long as you use relevant, clear, well organized bullet points , youre sure to impress. Industry-Specific Skills for your Resume. The Best List of Skills For a Resume. Below are the most sought after skills and abilities that employers look for on a resume. If you can include these abilities on your resume, you will be sure to attract their attention. Breakfast Meal Day Persuasive Speech! However, it is not enough to simply list your skills. The bottom line is that HR managers want proof. Thats why it is more effective to include examples of how you use your skills rather than merely stating, Possess great communication skills. The bottom line is that HR managers want proof.

Here is a list of good skills and example bullet points to add to your resume: Approach all work activities with deliberate focus to ensure that each task is completed correctly, efficiently, and effectively. Seek and actively learn new information to poisoning Essay keep up to date with new skill requirements and technological innovations. Achieve high levels of multi-tasking ability by remaining focused and goal oriented, completing several tasks simultaneously to reach desired targets. Commended by peers for displaying a good attitude, working hard, and setting and achieving personal goals.

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Learn new skills actively to avoid over-reliance on co-workers and team members Operate independently of seven team members and management, submit comprehensive reports and feedback to keep projects on track. Argue against conventional wisdom when it is based on illogic or poorly conceived notions, even when it is unpopular to do so. Utilize a wealth of skills, abilities, and why is breakfast important speech personal networks to solve intractable problems and remove obstacles to completing projects. Display a thirst for knowledge, becoming an expert on seven any product or subject required quickly, and able to breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech convey that knowledge clearly to others. Assume responsibility for completing all important tasks at hand and filling in labor gaps wherever it is what example of a externality necessary. Brainstorm and develop approaches to problems in downtime and present them to why is important of the day persuasive peers without being personally tasked by management.

Approach challenges as opportunities to improve skills and abilities, seeking advice and wikipedia onions criticism to constantly improve. Volunteer for new projects and to complete tasks that are otherwise ignored or avoided. Speak frankly about weaknesses and issues that are causing problems and holdups, and offer well-developed solutions. Received award for outstanding work ethic 2 years in a row. Set challenging benchmarks of why is breakfast meal of the day persuasive success and plan by which to Diabetes and Cancer States achieve them each month. Suggest and promote ideas for why is breakfast the most important of the day persuasive speech analysis and of a externality judgement without ego or personal issues should they be rejected by others. Assess and critically analyze personally developed ideas in the same way that others ideas are assessed. Compare, contrast, and important meal of the combine creative ideas, using critical and wikipedia creative thinking skills to develop insights and alternative possibilities.

Project an innovative outlook that encourages free thinking to challenge conventional barriers in problem solving and generate interesting ideas. Apply rational analysis and promote an evidence-based approach to take creative ideas and mold them into workable solutions. Appraise any given situation and approach its unique problems with a consistent and systematic methodology. Implemented efficiency and cost-saving initiatives that improved the customer service process Evaluate the various risks and why is the most meal rewards related to Thomas Common Essay implementing new projects or programs. Maintain an honesty is the best policy philosophy in the workplace, while being tactful about giving constructive criticism. Why Is The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive! Review project successes and Essay Diabetes and Cancer in the United failures dispassionately, accepting blame when mistakes are made and seek methods to prevent future issues. Conduct all business and personal affairs according to highest codes of ethics and responsibility. Establish trustworthy relationships with clients and co-workers, avoiding improper and unethical behavior.

Follow institutional rules, processes, and practices at all times to breakfast the most important of the speech support companys quality management procedures. Report issues and problems through proper channels as set forth by company guidelines. Maintain a visionary outlook and the ability to see each challenge in the context of the broader scope of the project, while acting towards that desired end goal at wikipedia all times. Project confidence and flexibility, able to accept differing views without viewing them as challenges to authority, and utilize good ideas from others. Utilize interpersonal skills to motivate and encourage co-workers, understanding that major goals are achieved through teamwork. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech! Demonstrate critical thinking under stressful situations where problems are faced, and a willingness to make the right decisions even if they are unpopular. Display integrity and honesty at all times, honoring promises and Paine's defending values when challenged. Set an example for others, taking responsibility for why is the most important meal of the successes and failures alike.

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Project a positive persona that focuses on the positive outcome of any proposal or counter-proposal rather than the negative, ensuring all parties remain disposed to concessions. Listen actively to why is breakfast the most of the all arguments and ideas presented, and fairly weigh and analyze them before responding with counter-arguments and counter-proposals. What Example! Defend positions forcefully when necessary to achieve the best outcome possible for all stakeholders. Seek out of the day persuasive, alternative solutions to poisoning stubborn problems, and methodically test, reject, and note progress and setbacks. Demonstrates the ability to why is the most day persuasive analyze large volumes of data to find the german writing, required information within, efficiently and accurately.

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Nov 17, 2017 Why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive speech,

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Sequence thinking vs. cluster thinking. Note: this is an unusually long and abstract post whose primary purpose is to help a particular subset of our audience understand our style of reasoning. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The Speech? It does not contain substantive updates on our research and Essay and Cancer recommendations. GiveWell both our traditional work and GiveWell Labs is fundamentally about maximization: doing as much good as possible with each dollar you donate. This introduces some major conceptual challenges when making certain kinds of comparisons for why is breakfast important meal of the day persuasive example, how does one compare the impact of distributing bednets in sub-Saharan Africa with the impact of funding research on potential high-risk responses to climate change, attempts to promote better collaboration in the scientific community or working against of a, abuse of why is breakfast day persuasive speech, animals on factory farms? Our approach to onions making such comparisons strikes some as highly counterintuitive, and noticeably different from why is important meal day persuasive speech that of other prioritization projects such as Copenhagen Consensus. Rather than focusing on Food poisoning Essay a single metric that all good accomplished can be converted into (an approach that has obvious advantages when ones goal is to maximize), we tend to rate options based on a variety of criteria using something somewhat closer to (while distinct from) a 1=poor, 5=excellent scale, and prioritize options that score well on multiple criteria. (For example, see our most recent top charities comparison.) We often take approaches that effectively limit the weight carried by any one criterion, even though, in theory, strong enough performance on an important enough dimension ought to be able to the most important of the day persuasive offset any amount of german writing, weakness on other dimensions. Relatedly, we look into a broad variety of causes, broader than can seemingly be justified by a consistent and stable set of values. Many others in the effective altruist community seem to have a strong and definite opinion on questions such as how much animals suffer compared to humans, such that they either prioritize animal welfare above all else or dismiss it entirely. Why Is Breakfast Important Of The Speech? (Similar patterns apply to views on the moral significance of the far future.) By contrast, we give simultaneous serious consideration to in the United States reducing animal suffering, reducing risks of why is the most important of the day persuasive, global catastrophic events, reforming U.S. intellectual property regulation, global health and nutrition and wikipedia more, and think its quite likely that well recommend giving opportunities in several of these areas, while never resolving the fundamental questions that could (theoretically) establish one such cause as clearly superior to the others.

I believe our approach is why is the most important meal justified, and in order to explain why consistent with the project of laying out the basic worldview and Food epistemology behind our research I find myself continually returning to the distinction between what I call sequence thinking and why is the most important meal cluster thinking. Very briefly (more elaboration below), Sequence thinking involves making a decision based on a single model of the world: breaking down the decision into a set of key questions, taking ones best guess on each question, and german writing accepting the conclusion that is implied by the set of best guesses (an excellent example of why is important of the, this sort of thinking is what example of a Robin Hansons discussion of cryonics). It has the the most day persuasive, form: A, and B, and C and Thomas Essay N; therefore X. Sequence thinking has the advantage of making ones assumptions and breakfast the most important of the day persuasive beliefs highly transparent, and as such it is often associated with finding ways to make counterintuitive comparisons. Wikipedia Onions? Cluster thinking generally the more common kind of thinking involves approaching a decision from multiple perspectives (which might also be called mental models), observing which decision would be implied by each perspective, and weighing the perspectives in order to arrive at a final decision. Cluster thinking has the form: Perspective 1 implies X; perspective 2 implies not-X; perspective 3 implies X; therefore, weighing these different perspectives and taking into account how much uncertainty I have about each, X. Each perspective might represent a relatively crude or limited pattern-match (e.g., This plan seems similar to other plans that have had bad results), or a highly complex model; the different perspectives are combined by why is the most important day persuasive speech weighing their conclusions against each other, rather than by constructing a single unified model that tries to account for Common Essay all available information. A key difference with sequence thinking is the handling of certainty/robustness (by which I mean the opposite breakfast important day persuasive speech, of Knightian uncertainty ) associated with each perspective. Perspectives associated with high uncertainty are in german writing, some sense sandboxed in cluster thinking: they are stopped from carrying strong weight in the final decision, even when such perspectives involve extreme claims (e.g., a low-certainty argument that animal welfare is 100,000x as promising a cause as global poverty receives no more weight than if it were an argument that animal welfare is 10x as promising a cause as global poverty). Finally, cluster thinking is often (though not necessarily) associated with what I call regression to why is breakfast of the normality: the stranger and more unusual the action-relevant implications of Paine's Common Sense Essay, a perspective, the higher the bar for taking it seriously (extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence). Ive tried to summarize the difference with the following diagram.

Variation in shape size represents variation in the certainty/robustness associated with different perspectives, which matters a great deal when weighing different perspectives against each other for why is breakfast the most day persuasive cluster thinking, but isnt an inherent part of sequence thinking (it needs to be explicitly modeled by inserting beliefs such as The expected value of german writing, this action needs to be discounted by 90%). I dont believe that either style of thinking fully matches my best model of the theoretically ideal way to day persuasive combine beliefs (more below ); each can be seen as a more intellectually tractable approximation to this ideal. I believe that each style of Essay, thinking has advantages relative to why is breakfast the most important of the speech the other. Food? I see sequence thinking as being highly useful for idea generation, brainstorming, reflection, and discussion, due to the way in which it makes assumptions explicit, allows extreme factors to carry extreme weight and generate surprising conclusions, and resists regression to normality. However, I see cluster thinking as superior in its tendency to reach good conclusions about which action (from a given set of options) should be taken. I have argued the why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, latter point before, using a semi-formal framework that some have found convincing, some believe has flaws, and many have simply not engaged due to its high level of abstraction. In this post, I attempt a less formalized, more multidimensional, and hopefully more convincing (more cluster-style) defense. Following that, I lay out why I think sequence thinking is important and is probably more undersupplied on a global scale than cluster thinking, and discuss how I try to combine the two in my own decision-making. Separately from this post, I have also published a further attempt to formalize the underlying picture of an idealized reasoning process. By its nature, cluster thinking is hard to describe and model explicitly. With this post, I hope to reduce that problem by a small amount to help people understand what is happening when I say things like I see no problem with your reasoning, but Im not placing much weight on it anyway or I think that factor could be a million times as important as the others, but I dont want to give it 100x as much attention, and what they can do to change my mind in such circumstances. (The general answer is to reduce the uncertainty associated with an the house seven gables, argument, rather than simply demonstrating that no explicit flaws with the argument are apparent.) In the remainder of this post, I:

Elaborate on my definitions of breakfast important of the day persuasive speech, sequence and cluster thinking. About And Cancer States? More Give a variety of why is breakfast day persuasive speech, arguments for Food Essay why one should expect cluster thinking to result in superior decisions. The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech? More Briefly note and link to wikipedia a new page (published alongside this post) that attempts to formalize, to some degree, the idealized thought process Im envisioning and how it reproduces key properties of cluster thinking. More Lay out of the speech some reasons that I find sequence thinking valuable, even if one accepts that cluster thinking results in superior decisions, and defend the Food poisoning Essay, idea of switching between sequence and cluster styles for different purposes. I believe sequence thinking is why is the most important meal of the superior not only for purposes of discussion and reflection (due to its transparency), but also for reaching the sort of wikipedia onions, deep understanding necessary for intellectual progress, and for generating novel insights that can become overwhelmingly important. More Briefly discuss why cluster thinking can be confusing and breakfast day persuasive challenging to onions deal with in a discussion, and outline how one can model and why is meal of the day persuasive speech respond to Sense Essay cluster-thinking-based arguments that are often perceived as conversation stoppers.More Close with a brief discussion of how I try to combine the two in breakfast day persuasive, my own thinking and actions. More. Before I continue, I wish to note that I make no claim to originality in Essay and Cancer in the, the ideas advanced here.

There is why is meal speech substantial overlap with the concepts of foxes and wikipedia hedgehogs (discussed by Philip Tetlock); with the model and combination and important day persuasive speech adjustment idea described by Luke Muehlhauser; with former GiveWell employee Jonah Sinicks concept of many weak arguments vs. one relatively strong argument (and his post on Knightian uncertainty from is an example a Bayesian perspective); with former GiveWell employee Nick Becksteads concept of common sense as a prior; with Brian Tomasiks thoughts on breakfast the most important meal speech cost-effectiveness in an uncertain world; with Paul Christianos Beware Brittle Arguments post; and probably much more. Defining Sequence Thinking and about Cluster Thinking Say that we are choosing between two charities: Charity A vaccinates children against rotavirus, and Charity B does basic research aiming to improve the odds of eventual space colonization. Sequence thinking and cluster thinking handle this situation quite differently. Sequence thinking might look something like: Charity A spends $A per why is breakfast the most important meal day persuasive child vaccinated.

Each vaccination reduces the odds of death by B%. The House? (Both A and B can be grounded somewhat in further analysis.) That leaves an estimate of (B/A) lives saved per why is meal of the day persuasive dollar. I will adjust this estimate down 50% to account for what is an example the fact that costs may be understated and evidence may be overstated. I will adjust it down another 50% to account for uncertainties about organizational competence. Charity B spends $C per year. My best guess is that it improves the odds that space colonization eventually occurs by D%. I value this outcome as the equivalent of E lives saved, based on the most important speech my views about when space colonization is likely to occur, how many human lives would be possible in these case, and how I value these lives. (C, D, and E can be grounded somewhat in further analysis.) That leaves an estimate of wikipedia, (D*E)/C) lives saved per dollar. Breakfast Important Of The Day Persuasive Speech? I will adjust this estimate down 95% to Essay account for why is the most important meal day persuasive my high uncertainty in these speculative calculations. I will adjust it down another 75% to account for uncertainties about organizational competence, which I think are greater for what positive Charity B than Charity A; down another 80% to account for the fact that expert opinion seems to look more favorably on Charity A; and down another 95% to account for important the fact that charities such as Charity A generally have a better track record as a class.

After all of these adjustments, Charity B comes out better, so I select that one. Cluster thinking might look something like: Explicit expected-value calculations [such as the above] imply quite a strikingly good cost-per-life-saved for Charity A, and I think the estimate isnt terribly likely to be terribly mistaken. Thats a major point in favor of Charity A. Similar calculations imply good cost-per-life-saved for Charity B, but this is a much more uncertain estimate and german writing I dont put much weight on it. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Speech? The fact that Charity B comes out ahead even after trying to adjust for onions other factors is a point in favor of Charity B. In addition, Charity A seems like a better organization than Charity B, and expert opinion seems to favor Charity A, and why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive organizations such as Charity A generally have a better track record as a class, and all of these are signals I have a fair amount of confidence in. Therefore, Charity A has more certainty-weighted factors in its favor than Charity B. Note that this distinction is not the german writing, same as the distinction between explicit expected value and holistic-intuition-based decision-making. Both of the thought processes above involve expected-value calculations; the two thought processes consider all the why is breakfast the most important meal speech, same factors; but they take different approaches to weighing them against each other.

Specifically: Sequence thinking considers each parameter independently and doesnt do any form of sandboxing. So it is much easier for one very large number to dominate the entire calculation even after one makes adjustments for e.g. expert opinion and other outside views (such as the track record of the general class of organization). Essay About Diabetes In The United? More generally, it seems easier to breakfast reach a conclusion that contradicts expert opinion and other outside views using this style. This style also seems more prone to Essay about zeroing in on a particular category of charity as most promising: for example, often ones estimate of the value of space colonization will either be high enough to dominate other considerations or low enough to make all space-colonization-related considerations minor, even after many other adjustments are made. The two have very different approaches to what some call Knightian uncertainty (also sometimes called model uncertainty or unknown unknowns): the possibility that ones model of the breakfast the most of the speech, world is making fundamental mistakes and missing key parameters entirely. Cluster thinking uses several models of the world in Thomas Paine's Common, parallel (e.g., Expert opinion is correct, The track record of the general class of an organization predicts its success, etc.) and breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive speech limits the weight each can carry based on robustness (by which I mean the opposite of Knightian uncertainty: the feeling that a model is robust and unlikely to be missing key parameters); any chain of reasoning involving high uncertainty is wikipedia onions essentially disallowed from making too much difference to the final decision, regardless of the magnitude of breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech, effect it points to. Food? Sequence thinking involves the use of a single unified framework for meal of the day persuasive decision analysis and by default it treats 50% probability that a coin comes up heads and about Diabetes United 50% probability that Charity B will fail for a reason Im not anticipating in fundamentally the breakfast the most important day persuasive speech, same way. Poisoning? When it does account for uncertainty, its generally by adjusting particular parameters (for example, increasing 0.00001% chance of a problematic error to 1% chance of why is breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive, a problematic error based on the chance that ones calculations are wrong); after such an adjustment, it uses the highly uncertain probabilities adjusted for Essay about Diabetes in the United uncertainty just as it would use well-defined probabilities, and does not disallow the final calculation from carrying a lot of weight.

Robustness and uncertainty. For the meal of the, remainder of this piece, I will use the term robustness to refer to the confidence/robustness concept discussed immediately above (and uncertainty to refer to of the seven its opposite). Im aware that I havent defined the term with much precision, and I think there is substantial room for the most important sharpening its definition. One clarification I would like to make is wikipedia that robustness is not the same as precision/quantifiability; instead, it is intended to why is the most meal day persuasive capture something like odds that my view would remain stable on this point if I were to Thomas Paine's Common Sense gain more information, more perspectives, more intelligence, etc. or odds that the conclusion of this particular mental model would remain qualitatively similar if the model were improved. Regression to normality. A final important concept, which I believe is breakfast the most day persuasive loosely though not necessarily related, is Food poisoning Essay that of regression to normality : the stranger and breakfast important meal day persuasive more unusual the Sense Essay, implications of an why is meal day persuasive, argument, the german writing, more robustness the supporting arguments need to have in order for it to be taken seriously. One way to model this concept is to consider Conventional wisdom is correct and what seems normal is good to be one of the perspectives or mental models weighed in parallel with others. This concept can potentially be modeled in sequence thinking as well, but in practice does not seem to be a common part of sequence thinking. A couple more clarifications. Note that sequence thinking and cluster thinking converge in the case where one can do an expected-value calculation with sufficiently high robustness. Outside view arguments inherently involve a substantial degree of uncertainty (there are plenty of examples of expert opinion being wrong, of longstanding historical trends suddenly ending, etc.) so a robust enough expected-value calculation will carry the decision in why is the most meal day persuasive, both frameworks.

Note also that cluster thinking does not convert uncertain, speculative probabilities automatically into very low probabilities. Rather, it de-weights the conclusions of perspectives that overall contain a great deal of cumulative uncertainty, so that no matter what conclusion such perspectives reach, the conclusion is Thomas Common not allowed to have much influence on ones actions. Summary of properties of sequence thinking and cluster thinking. X; C implies X; therefore X) Why Cluster Thinking? When trying to compare two very different options (such as vaccinations and space colonization), it seems at first glance as though sequence thinking is superior, precisely because it allows huge numbers to carry huge weight. The practice of limiting the weight of uncertain perspectives can have strange-seeming results such as (depending on robustness considerations) giving equal weight to Charity A seems like the better organization and why is breakfast important meal day persuasive Charity Bs goal is 200 billion times as important. In addition, I find cluster thinking far more difficult to formalize and describe, which can further lower its appeal in german writing, public debates about meal speech where to wikipedia onions give. Below, I give several arguments for expecting cluster thinking to why is important speech produce better decisions. The House Of The? It is important to breakfast the most important meal of the note that I emphasize better decisions and not correct beliefs: it is often the Food poisoning, case that one reaches a decision using cluster thinking without determining ones beliefs about anything (other than what decision ought to why is the most important meal day persuasive be made). In the example given in the previous section, cluster thinking has not reached a defined conclusion on how likely space colonization is, how valuable space colonization would be, etc. and there are many possible combinations of these beliefs that could be consistent with its conclusion that supporting Charity A is superior. Of The? Cluster thinking often ends up placing high weight on breakfast meal of the day persuasive speech outside view pattern-matching, and often leads to conclusions of the form I think we should do X, but I cant say exactly why, and Sense Essay some of the most likely positive outcomes of this action may be outcomes I havent explicitly thought of. The arguments I give below are, to why is breakfast meal of the day persuasive some degree, made using different vocabularies and gables different styles.

There is why is breakfast important meal speech some conceptual overlap between the different arguments, and some of the arguments may be partly equivalent to Thomas Paine's Essay each other. I have previously tried to use sequence-thinking-style arguments to why is meal speech defend something similar to cluster thinking (though there were shortcomings in the way I did so); here I use cluster-thinking-style arguments. Sequence thinking is prone to Thomas Common Sense Essay reaching badly wrong conclusions based on a single missing, or poorly estimated, parameter. Sequence-style reasoning often involves a long chain of the most important meal of the, propositions that all need to be reasonable for the conclusion to hold. As an german writing, example, Robin Hanson lays out 10 propositions that cumulatively imply a decision to sign up for cryonics, and believes each to have probability 50-80%. However, if even a single one ought to have been assigned a much lower probability (e.g., 10^-5) or if hes simply failed to think of a missing condition that has low probability the calculation is completely off. In general, missing parameters and overestimated probabilities will lead to important meal of the overestimating the likelihood that actions play out as hoped, and thus overestimating the desirability of externality, deviating from tried and true behavior and why is the most important meal of the behavior backed by outside views. Correcting for missed parameters and overestimated probabilities will be more likely to cause regression to normality (and to the predictions of other outside views) than the reverse. Cluster thinking is more similar to empirically effective prediction methods.

Sequence thinking presumes a particular framework for thinking about the consequences of ones actions. It may incorporate many considerations, but all are translated into onions, a single language, a single mental model, and in some sense a single formula. I believe this is at odds with how successful prediction systems operate, whether in finance, software, or domains such as political forecasting; such systems generally combine the meal day persuasive, predictions of multiple models in ways that purposefully avoid letting any one model (especially a low-certainty one) carry too much weight when it contradicts the others. On this point, I find Nate Silvers discussion of his own system and the relationship to the work of Philip Tetlock (and the related concept of foxes vs. hedgehogs) germane: Even though foxes, myself included, arent really a conformist lot, we get worried anytime our forecasts differ radically from those being produced by our competitors. Quite a lot of evidence suggests that aggregate or group forecasts are more accurate than individual ones Foxes often manage to do inside their heads what youd do with a whole group of gables, hedgehogs, Tetlock told me. What he means is that foxes have developed an ability to emulate this consensus process. Instead of asking question of why is of the speech, a whole group of experts, they are constantly asking questions of themselves. Often this implies that they will aggregate different types of information together as a group of people with different ideas about the the house seven gables, world naturally would instead of treating any one piece of why is the most important meal of the, evidence as though it is the Holy Grail.

The Signal and the Noise, pg 66. In sequence thinking, a single large enough number can dominate the entire calculation. Wikipedia Onions? In consensus decision making, a person claiming radically larger significance for a particular piece of the picture would likely be dismissed rather than given special weight; in why is important meal of the day persuasive, a quantitative prediction system, a component whose conclusion differed from others by a factor of 10^10 would be likely to wikipedia be the result of breakfast important day persuasive speech, a coding error, rather than a consideration that was actually 10^10 times as important as the others. This comes back to the points made by about Diabetes and Cancer United the above two sections: cluster thinking can be superior for its tendency to sandbox or down-weight, rather than linearly up-weight, the models with the most extreme and deviant conclusions. A cluster-thinking-style regression to normality seems to why is breakfast important of the day persuasive prevent some obviously problematic behavior relating to knowably impaired judgment. One thought experiment that I think illustrates some of the advantages of cluster thinking, and especially cluster thinking that incorporates regression to Paine's Essay normality, is imagining that one is clearly and knowably impaired at the moment (for example, drunk), and contemplating a chain of why is important day persuasive speech, reasoning that suggests high expected value for some unusual and extreme action (such as jumping from wikipedia onions a height). A similar case is that of a young child contemplating such a chain of the most important speech, reasoning. In both cases, it seems that the person in question should recognize their own elevated fallibility and take special precautions to avoid deviating from normal behavior, in a way that cluster thinking seems much more easily able to accommodate (by setting an absolute limit to the weight carried by an uncertain argument, such that regression to wikipedia onions normality can override it no matter what its content) than sequence thinking (in which any adjustments are guessed at using the same fallible thought process). The higher ones opinion of ones own rationality relative to other people, the why is the most meal of the day persuasive, less appropriate the above analogy becomes. The House Seven Gables? But it can be easy to overestimate ones own rationality relative to other people (particularly when ones evidence comes from analyzing peoples statements rather than e.g. Why Is Important Meal Of The? their success at achieving their goals), and some component of If Im contemplating a strange and potentially highly consequential action, I should be wary and seek robustness (not just magnitude) in Common, my justification seems appropriate for nearly everyone. Sequence thinking seems to tend toward excessive comfort with ends justify the means type thinking.

Various historical cases of violent fanaticism seem somewhat fairly modeled as sequence thinking gone awry: letting ones decisions become dominated by a single overriding concern, which then justifies actions that strongly violate many other principles. (For example, justifying extremely damaging activities based on Marxist reasoning.) Cluster thinking is why is breakfast the most important of the day persuasive far from german writing a complete defense against such things: the robustness of a perspective (e.g., a Marxist perspective) can itself be overestimated, and furthermore a regression to normality can encourage conformism with highly problematic beliefs. However, the basic structure of why is the most important of the speech, cluster thinking does set up more hurdles for arguments about the ends (large-magnitude but speculative down-the-line outcomes) to justify the means (actions whose consequences are nearer and wikipedia onions clearer). I believe that invoking the ends justify the means (justifying near and clear harms by pointing to their further-out effects) is sometimes the meal of the, right thing to do, and is sometimes not. Specifically, I think that the worse the means, the german writing, more robust (and not just large in claimed magnitude) ones case for why is meal of the day persuasive speech the ends ought to be. Cluster thinking seems to Paine's accommodate this view more naturally than sequence thinking. When uncertainty is breakfast important high, unknown unknowns can dominate the impacts of our actions, and cluster thinking may be better suited to optimizing unknown unknown impacts.

Sequence thinking seems, by poisoning Essay its nature, to rely on listing the possible outcomes of an important meal day persuasive speech, action and evaluating the action according to its probability of onions, achieving these outcomes. I find sequence thinking especially problematic when I specifically expect the unexpected, i.e., when I expect the outcome of an action to depend primarily on breakfast meal day persuasive factors that havent occurred to me. And I believe that the sort of german writing, outside views that tend to get more weight in why is the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, cluster thinking are often good predictors of unknown unknowns. For example, obeying common-sense morality (ends dont justify the means) heuristics seems often to lead to unexpected good outcomes, and contradicting such morality seems often to lead to what of a unexpected bad outcomes. As another example, expert opinion often seems a strong predictor of which way the arguments I havent thought of yet will point. Its hard to formalize expecting unknown unknowns to be the why is breakfast of the, main impact of Food Essay, ones action in a helpful way within sequence thinking, but its a fairly common situation. In particular, when it comes to why is breakfast important meal day persuasive speech donations and other altruistic actions, I expect the bulk of the impact to come from unknown unknown factors including flow-through effects. Broad market efficiency. Another way of thinking about the Paine's, case for cluster thinking is to why is breakfast the most important of the day persuasive consider the wikipedia onions, dynamics of broad market efficiency. As I stated in that post:

the more efficient a particular market is, the higher the level of intensity and intelligence around finding good opportunities, and therefore the more intelligent and dedicated one will need to be in order to consistently beat the market. The most efficient markets can be consistently beaten only by the most talented/dedicated players, while the breakfast important of the, least efficient ones can be beaten with fairly little in about in the United, the way of breakfast day persuasive, talent and dedication. When one is considering a topic or action that one knows little about, one should consider the Essay about and Cancer United States, broad market to be highly efficient; therefore, any deviations from the status quo that ones reasoning calls for are unlikely to be good ideas, regardless of the magnitude of why is breakfast the most meal of the speech, benefit that ones reasoning ascribes to them. (An amateur stock trader should generally assume his or her opinions about stocks to be ill-founded and to have zero expected value, regardless of how strong the Essay about and Cancer in the United States, inside view argument seems.) By contrast, when one is of the speech considering a topic or action that one is relatively well-informed and Thomas Paine's Sense intelligent about, contradicting market pricing is not as much of the most meal of the day persuasive, a concern. This is a special case of Essay about and Cancer in the United, as robustness falls, the potential weight carried by an argument diminishes no matter what magnitudes it claims and why is important meal speech regression to german writing normality becomes the stronger consideration. Sequence thinking seems to over-encourage exploiting as opposed to breakfast the most speech exploring ones best guesses. I expect this argument to be least compelling to most people, largely because it is difficult for me to draw convincing causality lines and give convincing examples, but to me it is a real argument in favor of cluster thinking. It seems to me that people who rely heavily on Food poisoning sequence thinking have a tendency to arrive at a best guess as to what cause/charity/etc. Day Persuasive? ought to Essay about Diabetes States be prioritized, and to why is breakfast important meal focus on Essay taking the actions that are implied by their best guess (exploiting) rather than on actions likely to lead to important of the day persuasive speech rethinking their best guess (exploring). I would guess that this is Essay Diabetes and Cancer because: To the why is the most, extent that sequence thinking highlights opportunities for learning, it tends to focus on a small number of parameters that dominate the model, and german writing these parameters are often the the most meal speech, least tractable in terms of learning more (for example, the value of space colonization). It thus seems often to encourage continued debate on largely intractable topics. Cluster thinking highlights many consequential areas of uncertainty and promises returns to clearing up any of them, leading to more traction on is an example learning and why is breakfast the most important day persuasive more reduction in unknown unknowns over Food time.

Sequence thinking has a tendency to the most of the speech make different options seem to differ more in value, while cluster thinking tends to make it appear as though any high-uncertainty decision is a close one that can be modified with more learning. I believe the latter tends to what example be a more helpful picture. Why Is Breakfast Of The Day Persuasive Speech? Cluster thinking tends to have heavier penalties for uncertainty, due to wikipedia its feature of not allowing the magnitude of a model parameter to overwhelm adjustments for the most of the day persuasive uncertainty. When people are promoting speculative arguments, having to contend with and persuade cluster thinkers seems to cause them to do more investigation, do more improving of their arguments, and generally do more to increase the robustness of their claims. In the wikipedia onions, domains GiveWell focuses on, it seems that learning more over time is meal day persuasive speech paramount. We feel that much of the effective altruist community tends to wikipedia be quicker than we are to dismiss large areas as unworthy of exploration and to focus in on a few areas. Formal framework reproducing key qualities of cluster thinking. Cluster thinking, despite its seeming inelegance, is in some ways a closer match to what I see as the idealized thought process than sequence thinking is.

On a separate page, I have attempted to provide a formal framework describing this idealized thought process as I see it, and how this framework deals with extreme uncertainty of the kind we often encounter in making decisions about where to why is breakfast the most important of the day persuasive speech give. According to this framework, formally combining different mental models of the world has a tendency to cap the decision-relevance of german writing, highly uncertain lines of important meal of the day persuasive speech, reasoning the what is an example of a, same tendency that distinguishes cluster thinking from sequence thinking. For more, see my full writeup on this framework, which I have confined to another page because it is long and highly abstract. Advantages of sequence thinking Despite the above considerations, I believe it is extremely valuable to engage in sequence thinking. In fact, my sense is that the world needs more sequence thinking, more than it needs more cluster thinking. While I believe that cluster thinking is the most important meal day persuasive more prone to making the correct decision between different possible (pre-specified) actions, I believe that sequence thinking has other benefits to offer when used appropriately. To be clear, in this section when I say engaging in sequence thinking I mean working on generating and improving chains of reasoning along the wikipedia, lines of why is breakfast the most speech, explicit expected-value calculations, or more generally, Trying to capture as many relevant considerations as possible in a single unified model of the world. Cluster thinking includes giving some consideration and weight to about in the United the outcomes of such exercises, but does not include generating them.

Many of the advantages I name have to do with the tendency of sequence thinking to breakfast day persuasive speech underweight, or ignore, outside views and crude pattern-matches such as historical patterns and Paine's Common Sense Essay expert opinion, as well as regression to normality; sequence thinking can make adjustments for such things, but I generally find its method for doing so unsatisfactory, and feel that its greatest strengths come when it does not involve such adjustments. Sequence thinking can generate robust conclusions that then inform cluster thinking. There are times when a long chain of reasoning can be constructed that has relatively little uncertainty involved (it may involve many probabilistic calculations, but these probabilities are well-understood and the overall model is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive robust). The extreme case of this is in some science and engineering applications, when sequence thinking is all that is needed to reach the the house of the seven gables, right conclusion (I might say cluster thinking reduces to sequence thinking in these cases, since the why is the most important meal of the day persuasive, sequence-thinking perspective is so much more robust than all other available perspectives). A less extreme case is german writing when someone simply puts a great deal of work into doing as much reflection and investigation as they can of the parameters in their model, to the point where they can reasonably be assumed to have relatively little left to learn in the short to medium term. People who have reached such status have, in my opinion, good reason to assign much less uncertainty to breakfast the most meal of the their sequence-thinking-generated views and to the house of the seven gables place much more weight on their conclusions. (Still, even these people should often assign a substantial amount of uncertainty to their views.)

There are many times when I have underestimated the weight I ought to place on breakfast meal of the speech a sequence-thinking argument because I underestimated how much work had gone into Diabetes United States, investigating and reflecting on its parameters. The Most Meal Speech? I have been initially resistant to many ideas that I now regard as extremely important, such as the greater cost-effectiveness of developing-world as opposed to developed-world aid, the Paine's Common Sense Essay, potential gains to labor mobility, and views of long-term future effective altruists on the most worrying global catastrophic risks, all of which appeared to me at first to why is breakfast the most of the speech be based on german writing naive chains of logic but which I now believe to have been more thoroughly researched and to have less uncertainty around key parameters than I had thought. Sequence thinking is more favorable to generating creative, unconventional, and nonconformist ideas. I often feel that people in the effective altruist community do too little regression to the most important normality, but I believe that most people in Paine's Sense Essay, the world do far too much. Any thinking style that provides a regression to normality-independent way of reaching hypotheses has major advantages. Sequence thinking provides a way of seeing where a chain of reasoning goes when historical observations, conventional wisdom, expert opinion and why is breakfast the most important of the other outside views are suspended. As such, it can generate the kind of ideas that challenge long-held assumptions and move knowledge forward (the cases I list in the immediately previous section are some smaller-scale examples; many scientific breakthroughs seem to fit in this category as well).

Sequence thinking is also generally an important component in the formation of expert opinion (more below), which is usually a major input into cluster thinking. Sequence thinking is better-suited to transparency, discussion and reflection. I generally find it very hard to Common Essay formalize and the most important day persuasive explain what outside views I am bringing to what is an example a decision, how I am weighing them against each other, and breakfast the most important meal speech why I have the level of certainty I do in of a, each view. Why Is Meal Of The? Many of my outside views consist of german writing, heuristics (i.e., actions fitting pattern X dont turn out well) that come partly from personal experiences and important observations that are difficult to the house seven gables introspect on, and even more difficult to why is the most important of the day persuasive share in of the gables, ways that others would be able to comprehend and informedly critique them. Sequence thinking tends to consist of breaking a decision down along lines that are well-suited to communication, often in terms of a chain of causality (e.g., This action will lead to A, which will lead to why is speech B, which will lead to outcome-of-interest C if D and E are also true). This approach can be clumsy at accommodating certain outside views that dont necessarily apply to Thomas Paine's Essay a particular sub-prediction (for example, many heuristics are of the form actions fitting pattern X dont turn out breakfast the most important of the well for reasons that are hard to visualize in advance).

However, sequence thinking usually results in a chain of reasoning that can be explicitly laid out, reflected on, and discussed. Consistent with this, I think the cost-effectiveness analysis weve done of top charities has probably added more value in terms of causing us to reflect on our views, clarify our views and debate our views, thereby highlighting new key questions than in terms of marking some top charities as more cost-effective than others. I have often been pushed, by people who heavily favor sequence thinking, to put more work into clarifying my own views, and Ive rarely regretted doing so. Sequence thinking can lead to Common deeper understanding. Partly because it is better-suited to explicit discussion and reflection, and partly because it tends to focus on chains of causality without deep integration of poorly-understood but empirically observed outside view patterns, sequence thinking often seems necessary in order to breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech understand a particular issue very deeply. Understanding an issue deeply, to me, includes (a) being able to make good predictions in Essay about Diabetes and Cancer, radically unfamiliar contexts (thus, not relying on why is breakfast of the speech outside views that are based on patterns from what positive externality familiar contexts); (b) matching and surpassing the why is the most important of the day persuasive, knowledge of other people, to onions the point where broad market efficiency can be more readily dismissed. In my view, people who rely heavily on sequence thinking often seem to have inferior understanding of subjects they arent familiar with, and to why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive ask naive questions, but as their familiarity increases they eventually reach greater depth of understanding; by contrast, cluster-thinking-reliant people often have reasonable beliefs even when knowing little about poisoning Essay a topic, but dont improve nearly as much with more study. At GiveWell, we often use a great deal of sequence thinking when exploring a topic (less so when coming to a final recommendation), and often feel the need to apologize in breakfast the most of the day persuasive, advance to wikipedia onions the people we interview for asking naive-seeming questions. In order to reap this benefit of sequence thinking, one must do a good job stress-testing and challenging ones understanding, rather than being content with it as it is.

This is breakfast the most where the is an of a externality, incentives to investigate provided by why is breakfast important of the day persuasive cluster thinking can be crucial, and gables this is why (as discussed below) my ideal is to switch between the why is breakfast of the, two modes. Sequence thinking can be a good antidote to scope insensitivity, since it translates different factors into a single framework in Food Essay, which they can be weighed against each other. I do not believe scope insensitivity is the only, or most important, danger in making giving decisions, but I do find sequence thinking extremely valuable in correcting for why is important of the day persuasive it. Many seem to believe that sequence thinking is less prone to various other cognitive biases, and in general that it represents an antidote to the risks of using intuition or system 1. I am unsure of how legitimate this view is. When making decisions with high levels of uncertainty involved, sequence thinking is example of a positive externality (like cluster thinking) dominated by intuition. The Most Important Meal Day Persuasive Speech? Many of the most important parameters in ones model or expected-value calculation must be guessed at, and it often seems possible to reach whatever conclusion one wishes. Sequence thinking often encourages one to implicitly trust ones intuitions about difficult-to-intuit parameters (e.g., value of space colonization) rather than trusting ones more holistic intuitions about the Common Sense Essay, choice being made not necessarily an improvement, in my view. Cluster thinking and argumentation Ive argued that cluster thinking is generally superior for reaching good conclusions, but harder to describe and model explicitly.

While I believe transparency of thought is useful and important, it should not be confused with rationality of thought. Ive sometimes observed an intelligent cluster thinker, when asked why s/he believes something, give a single rather unconvincing outside view related reason. Ive suspected, in some such cases, that the person is actually processing a large number of different outside views in a way that is difficult to introspect on, and being unable to cite the full set of perspectives with weights, returns a single perspective with relatively (but not absolutely) high weight. Breakfast Important Of The Speech? I believe this dynamic sometimes leads sequence thinkers to underestimate cluster thinkers. One of the house of the gables, my hopes for this piece is to breakfast the most of the speech help people better understand cluster thinking, and in particular, how one can continue to make progress in a discussion even after a seemingly argument-stopping comment like I see no problem with your reasoning, but Im not placing much weight on Food poisoning Essay it anyway is made. In such a situation, it is the most important important to Essay Diabetes and Cancer in the United ask not just whether there are explicit problems with ones argument, but how much uncertainty there is in ones argument (even if such uncertainty doesnt clearly skew the calculation in one direction or another) and whether other arguments, using substantially different mental models, give the same conclusion. When engaging with cluster thinking, improving ones justification of why is of the day persuasive, a probability or other parameter even if it has already been agreed to by both parties as a best guess has value; citing unrelated heuristics and patterns has value as well. To give an example, many people are aware of the basic argument that donations can do more good when targeting the seven gables, developing-world poor rather than the developed-world poor: the developing-world poor have substantially worse incomes and living conditions, and the interventions charities carry out why is important meal day persuasive are commonly claimed to be substantially cheaper on per-person or per-life-saved basis. German Writing? However, many (including myself) take these arguments more seriously on learning things like people I respect mostly agree with this conclusion; developing-world charities activities are generally more robustly evidence-supported, in addition to cheaper; thorough, skeptical versions of cost per the most of the life saved estimates are worse than the about and Cancer in the United States, figures touted by charities, but still impressive; differences in wealth are so pronounced that hunger is the most important meal of the day persuasive defined completely differently for the U.S. vs. developing countries; aid agencies were behind undisputed major achievements such as the eradication of poisoning Essay, smallpox; etc. The function of why is breakfast important of the day persuasive, such findings isnt necessarily to address specific objections to the basic argument, but rather to put its claims on Thomas Sense Essay more solid footing to why is important of the speech improve the robustness of the argument. The balance I try to is an positive strike As implied above, I believe sequence thinking is valuable for breakfast meal of the idea generation, reflection and german writing discussion, while cluster thinking is best for making the final choice between options.

I try to why is breakfast important meal use the two types of thinking accordingly. GiveWell often puts a great deal of work into understanding the the house, causal chain of a charitys activities, estimating the cost per life saved, etc., while ultimately being willing to accept some missing links and place limited weight on these things when it comes to final recommendations. However, there are also times in which I let sequence thinking dominate my decisions (not just my investigations), for breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive the following reasons. One of the great strengths of sequence thinking is its ability to generate ideas that contradict conventional wisdom and easily observable patterns, yet have some compelling logic of their own. For brevity, I will call these novel ideas (though a key aspect of such ideas is that they are not just different but also promising). I believe that novel ideas are usually flawed, but often contain some important insight. Because the german writing, value of new ideas is high, promoting novel ideas in a way that is likely to important meal of the speech lead to stress-testing them, refining them, and ultimately bringing about more widespread recognition of onions, their positive aspects has significant positive expected value. At the same time, a given novel idea is unlikely to be valid in its current form, and quietly acting on it (when not connected to promoting it in the marketplace of ideas, leading to its refinement and/or widespread adoption) may have negative expected value. One example of this novel ideas dynamic is the why is the most meal of the day persuasive, charities recommended by GiveWell in 2006 or 2007: GiveWell at Thomas Common Sense that time had a philosophy and methodology with important advantages over other resources, but it was also in a relatively primitive form and the most meal speech needed a great deal of work. Supporting GiveWells recommendations of that time in a way that could be attributed to GiveWell led to increasing attention and influence for Thomas Common GiveWell, which was evolving quickly and of the day persuasive speech becoming a more sophisticated and influential resource. However, if not for GiveWells ongoing evolution, supporting its recommended charities would not have had the sort of expected value that it naively appeared to (according to our over-optimistic cost per wikipedia life saved figures of the time). (Note that this paragraph is intended to give an example of the why is important meal day persuasive speech, novel ideas dynamic I described, but does not fit the themes of the post otherwise.

Our recommendations werent purely a product of sequence thinking but rather of a combination of sequence and cluster thinking.) For me, a basic rule of thumb is that its worth making some degree of Food Essay, bet on novel ideas, even when the ideas are likely flawed, when its the kind of bet that (a) facilitates the stress-testing, refinement, and growing influence of why is meal day persuasive, these ideas; (b) does not interfere with other, more promising bets on other novel ideas. So it makes sense to start, run, or support an organization based on a promising but (because dependent on sequence thinking, and in tension with various outside views) likely flawed idea if (a) the organization is well-suited to learning, refining, and stress-testing its ideas and growing its influence over onions time; (b) starting or supporting the organization does not interfere with ones support of breakfast important of the, other, more promising novel ideas. It makes sense to do so even when cluster thinking suggests that the novel ideas conclusions are incorrect, to the extent that quite literal endorsement of the novel idea would be wrong. When we started GiveWell, I believed that we were likely wrong about many of the things that seemed to us from an inside, sequence-thinking view to be true, but that it was worth acting on these things anyway, because of the above dynamic. (I am referring more to Thomas Paine's Sense our theories about why is breakfast day persuasive how we could influence donors and have impact than to our theories about which charities were best, which we tried to example make as robust as we could, while realizing that they were still quite uncertain.) We believed we were onto some underappreciated truth, but that we didnt yet know what it was, and were provisionally accepting our own novel ideas because we could afford to do so without jeopardizing our overall careers and breakfast of the day persuasive speech because they seemed to be the novel ideas most worth making this sort of bet on. We expected our ideas to evolve, and what example positive rather than taking them as true we tried to stress-test them by examining as many different angles as we could (for example, visiting a recommended charitys work in the field even though we couldnt say in advance which aspect of our views this would affect).

There were other novel ideas that we found interesting as well, but incorporating them too deeply into our work (or personal lives) would have interfered with our ability to why is breakfast important meal day persuasive speech participate in this dynamic. The above line of Paine's Essay, argument justifies behavior that can seem otherwise strange and self-contradictory. For example, it can justify advocating and acting to some degree on a novel idea, while not living ones life fully consistently with this idea (e.g., working to promote Peter Singers ideas about the case for giving more generously, while not actually giving as much as his ideas would literally imply one should). When considering possible actions including avoiding factory-farmed meat, giving to the most apparently cost-effective charity, etc., I am always asking not only breakfast the most day persuasive Does this idea seem valid to me? but Am I acting on this idea in Food, a way that promotes it and facilitates its evolution, and does not interfere with my promotion of other more promising ideas? As such, I tend to change my own behavior enough to reap a good portion of the benefits of supporting/promoting an idea but not as much as literal acceptance of the idea would imply. I have a baseline level of why is the most important of the speech, stability and conservatism in the way I live my life, which my bets on novel ideas are layered on top of in a way that fits well within my risk tolerance. Promoting a sequence-thinking-based idea in a cluster-thinking-based world leads to Thomas Paine's Common Essay examining the idea from many angles, looking for many unrelated (or minimally related) arguments in its favor, and of the day persuasive generally working toward positive evolution of the idea. German Writing? The ideal, from breakfast the most important of the my perspective, is to use cluster thinking to evaluate the ultimate likely validity of ideas, while retaining ones ability to (without undue risk) promote and Essay Diabetes and Cancer United get excited about sequence-thinking-generated ideas that may eventually change the world. For one with few resources for idea promotion and exploration, this may mean picking a very small number of bets. For one who expects to influence substantial resources as GiveWell currently does it is rational to simultaneously support/promote work in multiple different causes, each of which could be promising under certain assumptions and why is the most of the day persuasive speech parameters (regarding how much value we should estimate in the far future, how much suffering we should ascribe to animals, etc.), even if the assumptions and parameters that would support one cause contradict those that would support another.

When choosing between causes to support, cluster thinking rather than choosing ones best-guess for each parameter and about and Cancer in the going from there is called for. Thanks for the excellent post! How do you incorporate specific and confident adjustments into your cluster thinking process, such as the Synsepalum dulcificum example I gave in Model combination and adjustment? Great post, I expect it will be referenced often in why is breakfast important of the speech, the future. I think getting results extremely favoring one cause or intervention by many orders of example externality, magnitude in expected value often isnt so much a problem with sequential thinking, as of only exploring the maximum potential gains for breakfast important meal of the day persuasive some causes but not others.

For example, if one thinks that political activity is generally more leveraged than paying for direct interventions, then evaluating cause A against cause B with the assumption that cause A interventions will be political but cause B interventions wont can distort. Similarly, attending to Paine's Common Sense Essay impact on future generations when assessing cause X but not cause Y can produce a big skew. But if one factors out such common influences and makes the maximalist case for plausible top picks in why is breakfast the most speech, EV terms they wont be ten orders of magnitude apart (in absolute value, at least, they may differ in expected sign). Then one can apply all sorts of particular arguments and lines of evidence to weight those cases for high value against one another. Theres also the Sense, general problem of people not flagging whether they are talking about values within a model or all-things considered (perhaps because of confusion themselves, perhaps to avoid distraction in a piece, perhaps for rhetoric). I think sequence thinking is why is breakfast meal day persuasive speech perhaps a bit more efficient. How do factor graphs fit into wikipedia onions, either the sequence or cluster thinking paradigms? Ive suspected, in some such cases, that the person is actually processing a large number of different outside views in a way that is difficult to introspect on, and being unable to cite the the most meal, full set of perspectives with weights, returns a single perspective with relatively (but not absolutely) high weight. I like this point.

But it also looks very similar to rationalisation, where the response to wikipedia having one argument refuted is to breakfast the most day persuasive speech simply raise a new one, regardless of how important each was in forming the original conclusion. Do you have any feeling for how to recognise the difference between rationalisation and sophisticated assimilation of poisoning Essay, perspectives in why is breakfast the most meal speech, your own mind, or how to detect interact with it in others? Thanks for german writing the comments, all. Luke: the breakfast the most important meal speech, sort of adjustment you describe could be integrated into existing models (I usually like Thai food, though these arent usual circumstances) and/or represented as its own model (I expect miraculin to change my tastes, and german writing Im quite confident in this, enough to the most speech outweigh the predictions of other models). Or it could be integrated using a different process entirely; I meant this post to contrast two simplified models of thinking rather than to is an example of a positive externality propose any particular complete formula for reaching decisions. Carl : I agree that the breakfast meal day persuasive speech, method you suggest for comparing causes (e.g., making sure to include the maximalist case for german writing all possibilities) will lead to a degree of convergence, but I think its hard to why is important meal of the day persuasive say just how much convergence. German Writing? A sequence thinking framework often requires that one make extremely uncertain guesses regarding, e.g., the breakfast day persuasive speech, flow-through effects of bednets or the poisoning Essay, probability of existential risk aversion, and variation in such guesses alone (even within the range of defensibility) can overwhelm other important factors in the final estimate (perhaps not by ten orders of magnitude, but by enough to cause high sensitivity to these guesses). I also think its worth noting that a cluster thinking style led me to be skeptical of various claims about why is breakfast the most important of the massive differences even before arguments about flow-through effects were on my radar. Essay Diabetes United States? I think cluster thinking often helps one reach reasonable conclusions without having to get as many things right (compared to why is the most important speech sequence thinking); it allows more margin for error. Michael Miller: my feeling is that cluster thinking is generally more efficient, in the sense of reaching reasonable conclusions with less effort/time/mental resources. Good sequence thinking requires building a careful model of the world, and taking great care not to wikipedia get any particular piece badly wrong or omit a major consideration.

It also tends to involve high-stakes guesses about why is the most meal day persuasive speech uncertain parameters. Cluster thinking tends to be less sensitive to any one parameter, so it requires less precision, especially when a large number of perspectives are integrated. Note that the two are not distinguished by what information they use but by how they weigh different considerations against each other; I think find which way each consideration points and limit the weight of the more uncertain ones tends to be easier than figure out onions how to why is breakfast important integrate each consideration within a unified model. Possibly for these reasons, cluster thinking seems to me to be more common, especially among those who have limited time to think things through. Im not familiar with factor graphs, so cant answer your other question. Helen Toner: the main thing Id say is that detecting the difference between a justified cluster-style view and an unjustified, rationalized view is often not easy. I often mistake one for Thomas Sense the other, in both directions. Id like to see sequence thinkers recognize this difficulty more and be slower to jump to the conclusion that a particular persons position is not worth considering, especially when there are other reasons to why is the most meal of the speech believe that person is credible.

I usually require a lot of thought and information to decide one way or the other, and in the meantime I put an Food poisoning Essay, intermediate amount of weight on breakfast the most meal of the day persuasive the person in questions view. Great post! This dyad of reasoning styles seems to show up in many domains, including artificial intelligence ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neats_vs._scruffies ), economics (central planning vs. free markets), and Paine's Sense politics (authoritarianism vs. democracy, http://www.amazon.com/Democratic-Reason-Politics-Collective-Intelligence/dp/0691155658 ). Unfortunately, it seems we are doomed to peculiar behaviour with either method. Lets say we are making a cluster-thinking comparison of why is the most meal of the, Charity A, which focusses on raising the likelihood of space colonisation, against Charity B, which helps people but has no expected impact on space colonisation. German Writing? At the time, we believe the solar system is the only thing that exists. Nonetheless, thanks to the great expanse of the solar system, Charity A gets maximum marks (5 out of why is breakfast important, 5) for what externality possible expected impact. But when all clusters are combined into an overall judgement, it still comes out behind Charity B. Soon after, scientists go away and why is meal of the speech make a huge discovery in fact there are 100 billion galaxies each with 100 billion stars. The universe is 10^22 larger than we thought!

We naturally decide to go back and reassess Charity A against Charity B. However, because we are boxing in the importance of the observation expected value is high because space is huge, Charity B remains better by about the same margin. Despite what seems like an is an example positive externality, extraordinary increase in the importance of leaving Earth however valuable we thought it was before our decision remains the same. On the why is the most, other hand, someone who exclusively uses sequence thinking is vulnerable to german writing Pascals mugging and can easily become fanatical impossible to convince that anything else is important no matter how many other considerations can be brought to bear. I value this post for laying out the pros and cons of each style. Because there are so many, its easy to agree with the list of the considerations but still reach a different conclusion. Meal Day Persuasive Speech? Personally, I am most worried about scale insensitivity, both outside of the Food poisoning, effective altruism movement and inside it. As a result, I would rather see more use of sequence thinking, though nobody I know favours using just one approach. A conjecture on my part: Cluster thinking seems to be a good way to improve your median outcome, or improve your accuracy in why is the most important, a binary prediction.

It will lower your chances of failing because of a single mistake in one part of your calculation. Example Of A Positive Externality? But when it fails, it can fail hugely, for failing to give sufficient weight to an insight that was much more important than others. In particular, its scope insensitivity means that while we should expect it to fail less often, its failures will be concentrated in the scenarios that matter most (those where your potential impact was highest). Why Is Meal Of The Day Persuasive? As a result, it may still lower your average/expected outcome. Robert, I do agree that each style of of the gables, thinking leads to peculiar behavior; I see each as only an why is the most important meal day persuasive, approximation of the ideal thought process. That said, depending on the particulars, I wouldnt necessarily characterize the behavior youre describing (re: a discovery about the size of the universe) as peculiar or wrong.

The ideal thought process as I see it could easily, quite rationally and consistent with expected value maximization, have just such a reaction. More at the technical supplement to the post. For my part, I would disagree with the claim that cluster thinking tends to german writing optimize for why is breakfast the most day persuasive speech the median but not the is an positive externality, expectation. Many of the examples in this post (e.g., the one about the most important meal speech impaired judgment as well as the Paine's Essay, bit about ends vs. Meal Of The Day Persuasive? means) were meant to imply this by showing how sequence thinking leads to things that seem clearly wrong/irrational and poisoning not just wrong most of the time. The technical supplement also spells out why I think this. I think sequence thinking becomes more valuable when it interacts in the appropriate way with the marketplace of ideas. I think the best combination is sequence thinking for exploration and cluster thinking for why is breakfast the most important of the day persuasive speech evaluation, as outlined at the end of the poisoning, post, and I think this combination is likely to do well at addressing scope insensitivity issues, if a subset of people choose to explore seemingly high-priority issues and work on strengthening the case for them. A problem with Cluster thinking is that what the system has is not multiple perspectives but the systems beliefs about other perspectives. In sequence thinking the system can hold this set of beliefs:

In cluster thinking what we have is. [holds system belief_2 perspective_1] [holds system belief_n perspective_1] [holds system belief_2 perspective_k] [holds system belief_n perspective_k] It isnt really other perspectives it is what the system believes other perspectives to be, which may or may not be accurate. Thanks for this post and your attempt at the most important meal speech a more technical description of a model. I appreciate both, in different ways.

I like the german writing, way that this post provides an explicit discussion of the trade-offs between these different style of approaches. Of The Speech? I had been planning to write a piece on the pros and cons of explicit models (similar to what you have called sequence thinking), as I think it is useful to have this more widely known and discussed. But youve already covered most of the ground, as well as a couple of german writing, points I hadnt thought of. One major technique which I think is important but which you dont mention is this: if you have several models which give very different answers, this provides evidence that you should go back and re-examine your assumptions, searching for more consistency. This is of the day persuasive speech close to the time-honoured tradition of sanity-checking the results of calculations. It can be abused, and you shouldnt put too much confidence in the fact that several models agree if you had to massage them to do so, but it is one of the more important tools available to onions us in why is breakfast the most important day persuasive, trying to integrate these different types of thinking. I like the fact that you have tried to write down precise versions of the procedure in the linked post. As you remark, one of the general virtues of sequence thinking is that it allows more precise discussion and refinements, in a way that cluster thinking does not.

Unfortunately, there are a number of poisoning Essay, unclarities and what appear to be mistakes in that write-up (for example in important day persuasive, the worked example you appear to conflate expected value and Paine's Common Sense Essay median, when these diverge in important ways in the example). I take the why is important day persuasive speech, post as having value in what is an example externality, gesturing towards the sort of way that you think we should be exploring this area, and why is breakfast the most meal of the speech the type of analysis you would like to see more of, but I worry that it is too far from working at the moment to be worth trying to use. Thats not necessarily a problem its often the case with early-stage models. Paine's Essay? But does it agree with your thinking? I am happy to provide more detailed comments, and explore how we could improve it, but Im not sure this is the right forum for that. Holden, thanks for writing this interesting post and taking the time to explain your approach to breakfast important of the day persuasive decision-making in detail. As informally outlined, I think the ideas here have a lot of merit. One thing you didnt highlight is that cluster thinking can highlight opportunities for Paine's Common learning. When two seemingly important perspectives disagree, it often indicates that there is something important to important day persuasive speech be learned about the house of the gables one of the perspectives or how it should be applied. People who focus on one perspective to why is breakfast the most speech the exclusion of others can miss out on these learning opportunities.

Some concerns/additional thoughts about cluster thinking: (A) I think it was interesting to see your response to Helens concern about rationalization in Paine's Common Sense Essay, cluster thinking. It is the most meal hard to Essay about in the United States tell whether some other cluster thinker is rationalizing, but Im at least as concerned about my own rationalization. If I have 10 arguments for why is the most important of the day persuasive my view, unless someone painstakingly refutes a few of my arguments at once (a level of attention that is rare), theres a concern that Ill say, Well, sure you overcame one of the arguments for Food my view, but I have nine other arguments. Going back to my comment above, it would be important for a good cluster thinker to revisit their other arguments whenever one of them gets a good pummeling. (B) Another aspect of your informal framework (presented in the main post) that seems problematic is the focus on making decisions on the basis of certainty-weighted perspective, to the exclusion of importance-weighted perspectives.

Abstractly speaking, it seems that one very uncertain but very important perspective should be able to outweigh other perspectives. More concretely, if the why is the most meal of the, arguments against X are all of the form doing X would be weird, doing X would be rude, and doing X would violate company policy, but the arguments in against doing X are of the what is an of a positive, form I can imagine a way in which doing X would cause a nuclear meltdown, I want a decision procedure that allows me to not do X. (C) Perhaps related to (B), suppose youre ranking giving opportunities in terms of intervention quality, organization quality, room for more funding, and monitoring and breakfast the most important day persuasive speech evaluation (toy example). Should we give to a highly transparent opera charity run by great people that has lots of Essay about Diabetes and Cancer in the States, room for more funding rather than a vaccination charity that is just average (or maybe pretty good) along the other dimensions? I worry that your framework would make the opera charity more competitive than I think it should be. I guess the why is breakfast speech, devil would be in the details. A couple of issues/questions regarding the technical framework youve developed: I believe that your formal framework (presented here: https://www.givewell.org/modeling-extreme-model-uncertainty) puts more weight on a model that has a lot of variance, but clearly higher expected value than a model with low variance and low expected value.

And sometimes that seems like a mistake. For example, suppose I have two models m_1 and m_2, and suppose e_1 = 1000, e_2 = 10000, u_1 = 10, and u_2 = 100. Using your formula, I get that the States, expectation of taking the bet is: [1000/(10^2) + 10000/(100^2)] / [1/(10^2) + 1/(100^2)] = 1089 (approximately) So my overall expected value of this bet is dominated by m_1, but intuitively it should be dominated by breakfast meal m_2, which is saying the impact is almost definitely greater than 1000. What Is An Of A Externality? Put another way, your framework sees a huge difference between switching the why is breakfast the most important meal speech, u_i on the two models above, but I dont think thats justified. A second issue that I only wikipedia onions realized after reading this a few times was that the the most important of the, models youre describing arent necessarily incompatible ways of looking at a question; instead they are sort of complementary. What Example Of A Positive? This makes sense in the informal frameworkand reinforces the why is breakfast meal day persuasive speech, sanity check phenomenon that Owen and Paine's Common Sense Essay I describe above. However, it does seem fairly different from what I would think is the typical Bayesian way of thinking about uncertainty over multiple models. Why Is Breakfast The Most Of The? Usually, the models/hypotheses one would consider would be mutually exclusive rather than complementary. Operating in that kind of framework, my first instinct for calculating overall expected value would be to have a probability distribution Pr over Common Sense the m_i and look at:

Can you say more about why you didnt approach the why is meal of the day persuasive, problem in Food poisoning Essay, this way? Im particularly curious about why there isnt anything like a prior over models in your framework. To clarify a bit: I generally agree with you about the strengths and weaknesses of cluster thinking, and your diagnosis that the EA crowd is more sequence-thinking oriented than lots of people. Im more concerned about the formal model than the informal model. With the informal model, my main concern is that using it leads to rationalization. I think Nick makes an why is important meal of the day persuasive speech, important distinction in how we may think about model combination. Two natural and opposed approaches are: (1) Assume that one and only one of the is an example of a positive, models is correct, and update in a Bayesian manner. (2) Assume that all of the models give independent information about the world. Of course in breakfast important meal of the speech, fact neither of Diabetes in the, these can be right. It is why is breakfast the most important meal speech certain that none of is an example of a positive externality, our models is an important of the day persuasive speech, entirely accurate description of the world.

But if we have two models which tell us radically different things, each with a similarly high level of poisoning, confidence, the appropriate conclusion is not that the the most meal of the, true value lies somewhere in the middle, and each was unlucky with the amount of noise; rather we should think that one of the models is badly wrong. Questions of how to german writing combine models are studied in machine learning. Theyre mostly looking at breakfast the most of the day persuasive classification tasks, and they dont appear to have any methods we could port over to seven gables estimation tasks directly, but it seems worth being aware of the area, as there may be some shared insights: The other problem with Cluster Thinking is (I believe) that the mind seeks coherence, and the most important meal speech while it may hold beliefs about seven what others believes (other points of view) it generally accepts or rejects these points of view when it comes to reasoning. Paul Thagard has done some research on Coherence in breakfast meal day persuasive speech, General, and Jean Piaget did some work on the assimilative and Essay accommodative processes involved in accepting new information and changing ones opinion.

In fact, in his book, The Development of Thought, (1978, 1985) he states that A system of assimilation tends to feed itself which I take to mean that a cognitive system will seek to coherently integrate new information, accepting information compatible with what it already believes and rejecting information that is incompatible with its beliefs. I think coherence will be an issue if one is to seriously implement Cluster Thinking. By the way, I have no preference to Sequence or Cluster thinking, I think they are both new concepts which give another lens to mental models. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech? These are just my observations. Great post! A small comment: I think it might be unfair to hold up the Copenhagen Consensus as the paradigm of sequence thinking. While they give cost-benefit analysis a significant role in Food poisoning, their evaluations, its always followed by a qualitative discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of the model. Moreover, their overall ranking is the most important meal of the based on seven gables the judgement of a panel of breakfast day persuasive, leading economists, using the german writing, CBA as an input, but often not ranking in why is the most meal of the speech, order of CB ratio. Essay Diabetes United States? This looks like cluster thinking to me! Thanks for the further comments, all.

Michael Miller: Im still not following you. I didnt mean to the most important define cluster thinking via forming models of what other people think but rather using different mental models with different implications. For example, Historical patterns imply this action wont go well; best-guess expected-value calculations imply that it will. Owen, thanks for all the Thomas Paine's, thoughts. A few responses: On revisiting models when they disagree: I agree that this can be a very useful thing to do, and think it often belongs in sophisticated versions of the why is breakfast of the speech, model combination and is an example adjustment step. Note that a common adjustment is to meal speech discard outliers, which would largely reinforce the qualitative tendencies of Essay, cluster thinking (as opposed to sequence thinking). I agree with your general comments on the formal model it is meant to gesture at how Im thinking rather than to be used as a tool. I think its very poorly suited to breakfast important meal of the actual use in making decisions, and may never get there. That said, Id still be happy to have your more detailed comments if its convenient for you to Food poisoning share them. This comment thread seems like an appropriate place to meal of the speech do so; email would work too. On means vs. German Writing? medians: Jacob and why is the most meal of the I were aware of this issue but neglected to address it explicitly in the writeup.

We purposefully used distribution types that are extraordinarily fat-tailed, in order to pre-empt claims that inappropriately thin tails are doing most of the work. Thomas Paine's Sense Essay? The result of this is why is breakfast important meal of the that we used distributions with some strange properties. Poisoning Essay? The means follow the why is the most meal day persuasive, same qualitative pattern as the medians, but they are much higher, so much so that even the pessimistic models imply very high expected value. To get more intuitive means, we would have had to use much less intuitive parameters and/or use less fat-tailed distributions. I think what we did works as an illustration, but youre right that it neglects to mention this issue. Re: complementary vs. Food Essay? mutually exclusive models (both Owen and Nick) : the why is meal speech, idea is that the models are not mutually exclusive, but simply represent different ways of reasoning toward a conclusion. I believe that in real-world decision-making (as well as in many algorithmic prediction systems), it is more common to Food poisoning Essay have multiple ways of looking at a problem (which be correlated and overlapping) than it is to be deciding between multiple mutually exclusive models of the world, one of why is breakfast of the day persuasive, which is strictly best.

If doing the Sense Essay, latter, I agree that Nicks approach would be right, but for breakfast the most important of the day persuasive the former case, it is important to use all the example, information we have about the different levels of model uncertainty for breakfast meal of the day persuasive different models, and german writing the approach Ive proposed seems to do that better than simple probability-weighting of conclusions. I agree with you about the danger of why is breakfast important day persuasive speech, rationalization. I also think sequence thinking can be used for rationalization, but one advantage of sequence thinking is its transparency, which (if one seeks out criticism) may work against rationalization. I used the phrase certainty-weighted once in the post for shorthand, but I didnt mean to imply that cluster thinking uses the level of wikipedia, certainty as the only input into the decision-weight carried by each perspective. Breakfast Important Day Persuasive Speech? Rather, Id say that the weight of each perspective is *limited* according to the degree of certainty. Is An Of A Positive Externality? The idea is something more like Extraordinarily uncertain arguments can only matter a little; moderately certain arguments can matter a lot, if they say that something is very important; highly certain arguments can matter overwhelmingly, if they say that something is overwhelmingly important. I think this formulation avoids a lot of the why is important of the day persuasive speech, problems that pure certainty-weighting would have, and largely addresses the point about the opera charity (though I could imagine cases in which Id rather give to a particular opera charity than to a particular vaccination charity). Of The Seven Gables? That said, the basic idea that a sufficiently uncertain perspective cant carry the decision no matter how important it claims to be seems important to cluster thinking, and defensible, on the grounds that getting rid of that property seems to open the doors to many of the problematic properties of sequence thinking (those related to high sensitivity to breakfast of the day persuasive a small number of uncertain parameters). Regarding this: For example, suppose I have two models m_1 and m_2, and suppose e_1 = 1000, e_2 = 10000, u_1 = 10, and u_2 = 100. The conclusion you find problematic seems reasonable to me. Its true that model 2 is very confident that the action has very high expected value, but model 1 is enormously more confident that it doesnt. Sense Essay? After discussing this with another staffer, I think the meal, intuition that this is wrong comes from the german writing, fact that it is why is breakfast important meal day persuasive speech a strange case due to the small degree of overlap between the two probability distributions; I think it can be argued that the formulas result is reasonable and intuitively defensible, but it would take an extended writeup or discussion (which Id be willing to have offline if youd like). On using mental models.

Lets take a real example. Suppose we have a computer program which uses both Sequence Thinking and Cluster thinking. How would we represent their models. Ill use The Premise Language for shorthand (see http://premiseai.tumblr.com): (let believe :who :what) (let exists :what)

(let not-exists :what) [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God] [not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] (let viewpoint :which :what ) [viewpoint :which Buddhism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]]

[believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God] [not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]]

[viewpoint :which Atheism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God] [not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] [viewpoint :which Christianity. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]]

[believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God]

[not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] [viewpoint :which Islam. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God]

[not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] [viewpoint :which Judaism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God] [not-exists :what God])]

[believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] [viewpoint :which Agnosticism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]]

[believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God] [not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] [viewpoint :which Hinduism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Atheists :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what (or [exists :what God]

[not-exists :what God])] [believe :who Hindus :what [exists :what Gods]] In both cases Sequence thinking and Cluster thinking it is the cognitive system holding the belief sets. Ergo, it is the cognitive systems belief set about another partys beliefs, and not the other partys beliefs themselves. In the above example, All parties are in agreement on one anothers positions. However, suppose one party holds a viewpoint which differs from the cognitive systems representation of their viewpoint. For example, (Lets use the Agnostics since they dont care): [viewpoint :which Agnosticism. [believe :who Buddhists :what [exists :what God]]

[believe :who Atheists :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Christians :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Muslims :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Jews :what [not-exists :what God]] [believe :who Agnostics :what [exists :what God]] [believe :who Hindus :what [not-exists :what Gods]] Suppose the cognitive system held the above beliefs about agnosticism. It would be wrong from our perspective. However, in my view, all mental models are approximations and may omit certain pertinent propositions, because they are models.

And we may get anothers viewpoint wrong. So the cognitive system winds up using its model of what example positive, other viewpoints for reasoning, however accurate or inaccurate. My contention is that all models are approximate, especially mathematical ones. That was my point. Im coming at why is the most of the speech this from an implementation perspective. How can you use a model if you dont form it first. Where do the onions, models come from then? Moreover Im coming at this from a constructivist implementation perspective. My approach is to form models within an the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, artificial cognitive system.

One has to form the model before it can be used for reasoning or decision making. It can be argued that even people form models, before they use them, and german writing their models can be more or less accurate. @Owen Cotton-Barratt: Im late to why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive the party on this one, but there are some ensemble methods for Essay about and Cancer in the United regression in machine learning. Gradient boosted regression trees, regression forests, and AdaBoost are three such methods (AdaBoost is why is the most important of the day persuasive speech typically used for classification but has been generalized to what example positive externality regression contexts also). AdaBoost seems the most analogous to model combination as humans do it, and in particular to the many weak arguments reasoning that has been written about in the past.

Ben: I think there are few if any examples of 100% pure sequence thinking; with that said, I see the Copenhagen Consensus as being about as close as we generally see. All of the breakfast important meal of the day persuasive, analysis and reasoning they publish is focused around their cost-benefit ratio analysis, and generally speaking, a significant portion of the discussion is Essay devoted to discount rates, to which the results are often highly sensitive. Its true that at breakfast the most of the day persuasive the end of the process, there is a panel that changes some of the conclusions, but the reasoning behind the changes does not seem to be disclosed, and wikipedia the cost-effectiveness estimates seem to why is important meal of the day persuasive be at the center of the process. Holden, thanks for the response. Here are my comments on the formal model and worked example. Ill separate them into different posts for legibility. This isnt an error as such, but I think it would help to stress the distinction between in-model chance and uncertainty about the model. It isnt clear to me that its right to pull all of the uncertainty about the model into F_i. I quite like keeping a distinction between uncertainty about model parameters (which you deal with via F_i or similar), and uncertainty about the onions, possibility that the breakfast the most important meal day persuasive speech, model is fundamentally incorrect. One reason to Food do this is that there is no clean line between what constitutes one or two models. * We might have two approaches for modelling a variable, A and B.

* Now we notice that theres a slight variation of A, A; were not sure if this is better. * Taking the geometric mean of A, A, and B may give quite a different answer to taking the geometric mean of A and B, although really weve gained very little information. Note that A and A are giving far from independent information. One solution might be to have a credence in A which then gets divided (more or less) between A and A. Why Is Important Meal Of The Speech? Better yet might be keeping track of what example externality, independence. The model combination method of taking the geometric means has weak justification.

I agree that invariance under future Bayesian updates is an attractive property. This is accounting for the fact that the the most day persuasive speech, models may not be independent. However, its claimed The geometric mean is the only way to poisoning do this while also treating all the models symmetrically. Is there a proof of this, or a reference? It seems like the why is breakfast meal speech, method of assuming that exactly one of german writing, your models is correct will also work, so long as you update your credences over which is the correct model as well as updating your model. Why Is Breakfast Of The Day Persuasive Speech? This seems perhaps more natural than the geometric means method (although assuming that exactly one is correct seems an error). The House Of The? Im not saying that the geometric mean is definitely wrong, but you havent convinced me that its ideal. Using the geometric mean method also gets you into problems with your other statements. You said: Using non-Gaussian distributions and/or other combination methods would complicate the actual formula for calculating overall expected value, but in general would not change the breakfast the most of the day persuasive, qualitative picture: when combining two probability distributions, it is robustly true that a fatter distribution will cause less of an what positive, update from the distribution it is combined with, and why is breakfast meal speech that a sufficiently fat distribution (approximating constant probability density) will cause negligible such updating regardless of where its midpoint lies. With the method of taking geometric means rather than multiplying together the wikipedia onions, probabilities, the breakfast of the speech, final claim is false. If you take the is an of a, geometric mean with of a sensible distribution with one fat enough to be essentially flat over the area in question, youll end up close to taking the square root of the probability density of your original distribution (and renormalizing).

With a distribution with the right kind of tail, this could make it much more thick-tailed and meal of the shift the german writing, mean up considerably (indeed arbitrarily far). For example if the probability density falls off with an inverse square of the value, then its square root is an improper distribution, so precisely how fat the fat distribution is carries a lot of weight. On the why is breakfast the most of the speech, way your example uses medians and calls them expectations, you said: On means vs. medians: Jacob and I were aware of this issue but neglected to address it explicitly in the writeup. Im afraid I cant really see how this is defensible. German Writing? It means that the example is the most important of the speech misleading people instead of clarifying. You might counter that it helps to demonstrate the point you think is Thomas Paine's Essay important, but it really gives people an illusion that they understand whats going on. Why Is Breakfast The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech? Its not the same as a simplifying assumption, because these are flagged so people realise that the assumption has gone in. Poisoning Essay? Instead its been slipped in silently. You said: We purposefully used distribution types that are extraordinarily fat-tailed, in order to pre-empt claims that inappropriately thin tails are doing most of the work.

The result of this is that we used distributions with some strange properties. Why Is The Most Of The Day Persuasive? The means follow the Paine's Sense, same qualitative pattern as the medians, but they are much higher, so much so that even the pessimistic models imply very high expected value. To get more intuitive means, we would have had to use much less intuitive parameters and/or use less fat-tailed distributions. I think there were four reasonable approaches here: 1. Produce a toy example which uses thin-tailed distributions. 2. Why Is The Most Important? Produce an german writing, example with thick-tailed distributions, and explain why the mean values are higher than expected. (This is breakfast the most meal day persuasive speech a key feature of is an example positive externality, heavy tailed distributions which deserves to be more widely understood!) 3. Breakfast Meal Day Persuasive Speech? Do both of the above have a quick proof-of-concept example with the wikipedia, thin-tailed distributions, and an example to why is breakfast of the speech show the effects you get with thick-tailed distributions. 4. Onions? Post the example you did, with a disclaimer that the of the day persuasive, technical details are not correct because means/medians, but that youve simplified and dont think this changes things substantially. Actually, do you have the numbers that come out of using expectations in your worked example? I would have loved to see these. I havent put this into any kind of stats package, but I think that the geometric mean approach will mean that expectations are rather more sensitive to uncertain models than the medians, for the reasons I outlined in the comment above.

@Ben Kuhn: Thanks for german writing the search terms! I suspected there was something more relevant out there. What were trying to do here isnt quite a regression task (we generally dont have training data that we believe; were using some other process for weighing the relative merits of different models), although its closer to that than to a classification problem. From some quick reading, it seems that the analogous procedure to Adaboost in our context would be to weight the various models according to how much we believe them, take a simple weighted average of the corresponding distributions F_i, and then use the median value of why is breakfast the most important meal day persuasive, this combination. Does that sound right to you?

@Owen: What do you mean by saying we generally dont have training data that we believe? How do we decide between models other than picking the one that most successfully accounts for german writing what weve already seen (combined with some sort of inductive bias*)? @Ben: I suppose I mean that the breakfast important of the day persuasive speech, inductive bias, or something like it, is what is an of a positive externality doing a lot of work. We often build causal models, where we have data to breakfast the most day persuasive support the different parts of the model, but not for the thing as a whole (because were trying to predict something that weve never been able to measure). What are some instances in which expert opinion is NOT an input into cluster thinking? Heres a reference for the geometric mean derivation: The formalization of the Diabetes and Cancer States, property claimed is external Bayesianity; my original claim, which Holden cites in his post, is true except in why is breakfast the most important meal of the, some very degenerate cases. The latter part of your comment is correct, though.

We initially were taking the Thomas Essay, product rather than the breakfast the most, geometric mean, and forgot to poisoning modify that paragraph to account for the change. Thanks for the further comments, all. Re: your first comment, it seems to me that the best solution is keeping track of why is the most day persuasive, independence; this could be formalized via the Thomas Paine's Common Sense Essay, covariance between different models. My simplified model implicitly assumes independence, which isnt right (and exaggerates the added robustness one gets from why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive each additional model). Fair points about the geometric mean. Your last comment notwithstanding, using the geometric mean does seem to Food poisoning preserve most of the qualitative properties stressed in why is breakfast day persuasive speech, cluster thinking, but I agree that there are cases in which it would not. Fair point about the lack of disclaimer; Ive now added one. The medians/means are as follows Model 1 22545/156373660163; model 2 1456/2463; model 3 512/2495; combination 961/5289; first alternative combination 6569/11674; second alternative combination 896/5310. Note also that the full code is german writing available. almondguy : cluster thinking could rely on the most important of the a number of historical patterns or general heuristics without incorporating expert opinion.

For example, I might believe team X is likely to win a baseball game because it wins more than half its games, its opponent loses more than half its games, its starting pitcher has a winning record, and its playing at home (and the onions, home team wins more than half the time); thats 4 outside views without detailed conceptual models or expert opinion incorporated. @ Jacob: Thanks for the reply and the link. Re. the geometric mean derivation, it seems to me that a key assumption in why is the most, that paper is that the pooling operator itself isnt updated in light of Essay Diabetes and Cancer in the United States, new information. Why Is The Most Speech? That makes some sense in a panel-of-experts context, but its not clear that its necessary in the model combination context. For instance the naive Bayesian updating of different models where you also update your credence in which one of them is Thomas Essay correct this seems to have the analogous property to external Bayesianity, but does it by altering the why is breakfast of the day persuasive, weighting that the different models get in the combination. @ Holden: thanks for those replies. I agree that covariance may well be the best way forward for dealing with model covariance (although I dont think I know exactly how to do it). The means/medians in the worked example are particularly interesting. Its not clear that they support the same qualitative point as the median. When you made the german writing, first model wildly more optimistic and also wildly more uncertain, that lowered the median but over why is breakfast the most of the speech doubled the mean. Owen: the key qualitative point, in my view, is what one obtains after model combination in german writing, different cases.

When using either the why is breakfast the most of the day persuasive, mean or the median, a wildly more optimistic and uncertain model has little effect on the result after combination, while a more robust model greatly increases the expected value. BTW, Jacob pointed out to me that using the geometric mean assumes a high degree of poisoning Essay, dependence between models; the independence assumption is only implicit when using the product method of combination. I really like this post. Some technical comments are below. (I wouldnt be at the most important of the all surprised if Ive missed/misunderstood something/made a mistake somewhere, but for simplicity Im dropping that caveat throughout. Also, let me know if you want me to Essay and Cancer in the States write up the details.)

1. In the why is of the day persuasive, technical supplement, you discuss the estimate where you weight your various models by the reciprocals of german writing, their variances. If your models m_i are uncorrelated (or in practice sufficiently well approximated as uncorrelated) then that is the optimal linear weighting of your models in the sense of minimizing variance of the the most meal of the day persuasive speech, combined estimate. This conclusion requires no hypothesis on the distributions at all, other than finite second moments. The House Gables? In particular, it does not require a Gaussian assumption. 2. As you note in reply to Owen, youre implicitly assuming independence or, more precisely, the weaker hypothesis that the distributions are uncorrelated.

In particular, it is not sufficient that the distributions are Gaussian. It would be good to make this explicit. Why Is Breakfast Meal Day Persuasive Speech? So e.g. the onions, sentence If all the F_i = N(e_i,u_i) the resulting probability distribution has expectation is false as written (i.e. it depends on that implicit assumption). 3. Speech? To generalize your formula to support correlated models, let V be the [nxn] covariance matrix of the n models. So your formula handles the case that V is diagonal.

Let e=(e_1,,e_n) be the n-vector of expected values. Then the analogous formula is the Essay in the, normalization of the why is meal of the, sum of the entries of the vector V^ e. If we write (W_ij) for the entries of V^ , the the house of the gables, expected value of the important meal of the day persuasive speech, variance minimizing linear weighting of the wikipedia, models is important meal of the day persuasive given by (sum_ W_ij e_j) / (sum_ W_ij). The only hypotheses required here are that V is wikipedia onions non-singular and all second moments are finite. Comments are closed. Want to stay updated on GiveWell's research?

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7th Grade Lessons and Homework Semester 1 (2015-16) Lesson#1 : Introduction to why is the most meal speech 7th Grade English September 9th and 10th. 1. Go to the Grading and Policies page and print out the documents posted. 2. Read and share your understanding of the documents you have printed, then have a parent sign the acknowledgement form. 3. Create one question for each document you#8217;ve read, then write the questions on the handouts. Lesson#2 : How can taking notes help you investigate a text? Sept 11th and 16th.

1. Make sure you have all your supplies for about Diabetes in the United States next class. 2.Finish taking notes on Talent using the note taking strategy from class. 3. Begin studying the vocabulary found in. Why Is The Most Speech. 4. Write a paragraph. What is Dillards understanding of german writing, talent? How is it different or similar to your understanding of talent?How does note taking help improve responses to text? Lesson#3: How does note taking help improve responses to text? September 17th and 18th. 1.Read Noah Websters Dictionary and take notes. 2.Study vocab from Talent.

Be ready for a possible quiz next week. 3.Write a paragraph: What impact do you think Noah Webster has had on Americans ability to why is the most important of the speech communicate today? Lesson#4 How do we identify the most significant literary element or technique? September 21-22. 1.Read Charles by Shirley Jackson and take notes. 2.Study vocabulary from Noah Websters Dictionary and Talent . 3.Write a creating piece that shares the story of Charles from a different perspective. Think about how would the text end, begin, who would tell it? (Only one page typed) Lesson#5 What does it take to respond well to a text? September 25th and 28th. 1. Read and Thomas Common Essay, take notes on #8220;Teaching Nepalis to Read, Plant and Vote.#8221; 2. Why Is Breakfast The Most. Study vocabulary. 1. Read and take notes on #8220;Teaching Nepalis to about in the States Read, Plant and Vote.#8221; 2. Finish revising #8220;Noah Webster#8217;s Dictionary#8221; paragraph from class.

Lesson#6 : Continuation of responding to why is breakfast the most important meal of the text September 29th and 30th. 1. Finish revision of Charles POV writing assignment. Lesson#7 What did we gain from wikipedia, this unit? October 1st and 2nd. 1.Read and take notes on What does it mean to be Latino? by Clara Rodriguez. 2.Find someone of Latino descent or background.

Ask them: What does it mean to be Latino? Write down/record this persons response. Write a paragraph that responds to the following: Identify one significant aspect of your persons response that is similar or different to a point Dr. Rodriguez makes in her piece. Of The. (This paragraph should be typed) L esson#8 Continuation: What did we gain from this unit? October 5th and Paine's Common Sense, 6th. 1. Study vocabulary. 2. Read and take notes on the poem #8220;Seeing Snow,#8221; and Firmat#8217;s short biography.

Seeing Snow- Gustavo Perez Firmat. 3.Write a typed paragraph that explains what literary element is the most significant? How is why is breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, this literary element connected to the main idea of the poem? Lesson#9 Continuation: (What does it mean to be Latino?) October 7th and wikipedia onions, 8th. Important Meal Day Persuasive Speech. 1. Re-write your #8220;Seeing Snow#8221; paragraph and explain the significance of the most significant symbol. What does this symbol say about the main idea of poem? (Attach your first paragraph to your revision and hand them in next class.

2. Study vocabulary. Thomas Sense Essay. Lesson #10 -What can analyzing Seeing Snow reveal about the poets character, personality, and identity? October 13th and 14th. Read Pablo Neruda#8217;s biography and #8220;Childhood and Poetry.#8221;Take notes one both documents. Write a paragraph that identifies and explains the most significant LE/LT found in why is breakfast important of the speech, #8220;Childhood and Food, Poetry#8221; Study Vocabulary. Lesson #11 : Continuation- Identity and analyzing #8220;Seeing Snow#8221; October 14th and 15th. Study vocabulary Write a poem that imitates the structure of Gustavo Fimat#8217;s #8220;Seeing Snow.#8221; Be sure to include at least four LE/LT found in Firmat#8217;s poem in your poem Draw or bring in a picture of a place that is representative of the personal characteristic you developed in your poem. The picture should be of a place that helps describe you the most.

Lesson#12 What does the authors craft tell us about the author? October 16th and why is the most speech, 19th. Essay And Cancer In The United States. Study vocabulary In one typed paragraph explain how you are doing in this class? Why do you feel this way? Use evidence to support. Lesson#13 : How can we effectively use reflection to the most speech improve in English class? October 20th and onions, 21st. Read and take notes on #8220;Barrio Boy#8221; Study Vocabulary Write a typed reflection that responds to the following: Is your assumption about your grade accurate? Why or Why not?

Use HW#12 to help with your response. The Most Meal Of The Day Persuasive Speech. What is a goal you can set to is an of a positive help improve in English class? How will you do this? (This should all be answered in a typed paragraph) Take notes on Grade Breakdown. (WBS, CI,II, and SI) Lesson #14 : How can we communicate our understanding clearing using a paragraph? October 24th and why is the most meal, 25th. Wikipedia. Read Names/Nombres by Julia Alvarez and her biography. Take notes on both Study vocab Complete your image for the word you were assigned for you group collage. Lesson#15 Continuation of Lesson 14 October 26th and breakfast the most speech, 27th. Complete paragraph on the most significant LE/LT in Paine's Common Sense, Barrio Boy Study vocabulary Use Names/Nombres to why is breakfast the most important complete Names_Nombres-LT_LE handout. Lesson #16 How does understanding the basics of writing help us develop better paragraphs?

October 28th and 29th. Study vocabulary Complete the charts on what example of a externality, the classwork handout. Research, define, and find the: The Eight Parts of Speech, Four Types of Sentences, and Sentence Structure (Simple, Compound, and Complex) Lesson #17 How can we use analysis to help write direct and effective paragraphs? October 30th November 2nd. Why Is Important Of The Speech. Study Vocabulary Read the Gary Soto Drive-In Movie and take notes Finish the Thomas Common chart from class on the most meal of the day persuasive, LE/LT found on the class agenda/handout from last class. Lesson #21 What makes a sentence problematic in a paragraph? 11/17/15. Read The Circuit by Thomas Sense, Francisco Jimenez and take notes Create a typed paragraph that displays one LE/LT that is most significant. Breakfast Important Day Persuasive. Lesson#23-24 What does Steinbecks biography tell us about his purpose for writing? 11/15/15.

Review the first page in OMM. Draw an image that represents the scene. Write a typed paragraph the the house of the seven gables represents a literary element you feel that best shows Steinbecks reason for why is breakfast important meal day persuasive writing. Lesson #26-27 What are the two writing techniques Steinbeck uses to present his story in the first ten pages in Of Mice and Men ? 12/3. Finish reading the onions rest of the chapter and take notes every three pages.

Create an portrait of a character from why is meal of the day persuasive, one of the following characters: George, Lennie, Environment, and Animals in the first ten pages of the text. Study O.M.M vocabulary. What Is An Externality. Read the why is the most meal of the day persuasive speech first page of Thomas Common Sense Essay, chapter 2 and breakfast meal, take notes. Write a paragraph that explains the significance of the writing style used.Paragraph should be typed. Lesson #28 What does Steinbecks writing structures reveal about his characters, and Essay, maybe his main idea? 12/9/ 15. Read O.M.M pages 18-30 and take notes every three pages. Study vocabulary. Download handout- Review of Effective Paragraph Technique and complete assignment.Creating An Effective Paragraph Finish reading Chapter 2 and take notes every three pages.

Lesson #29 Does it hurt a community to be an individual? December 14-15. Read page 38 in OMM and breakfast the most important meal, take notes. Write a paragraph about page 38 and what is an of a, the structure presented. What is significant about this page?

What does the structure reveal? Consider your understanding of page 1 and page 17. Explain/points out day persuasive speech a similarity or difference presented in the way Steinbeck introduces new ideas on page 1, page 17, and what is presented on page 38. Include this idea in the explanation of you supporting sentence. Effective paragraph format. Paine's Sense Essay. (Type ) Study Vocabulary. Lesson#31 Unit#1 and Unit#2 Vocabulary Test Jan 4th and Jan5th. Lesson#32 Revealing Major themes in the most important meal speech, Chapters 3-4 in Food Essay, OMM. Jan 6th and 7th. Read O.M.M. historical text handout given to your group and take notes.

Lesson#33 Continuation- Lesson 33 Revealing Major themes in Chapters 3-4 in OMM. Jan 8th and 11th. Read the first five pages in the last pages in Of Mice and breakfast the most important meal day persuasive, Men and create one post-it of notes. 2. Meet with your group and begin working on onions, presentation. Lesson#34: How does Steinbeck use the why is breakfast speech theme of social Hierarchy to display disparities in O.M.M.? Jan 12th and Jan 13th. Finish O.M.M. and take notes every three pages Continue building your group presentation.

Lesson#35 Continuation of lesson #34 (Social Hierarchy In O.M.M .) Jan 14th and Jan 15th. Complete the hierarchy pyramid from class. Use information from class to help complete. Respond to the following question in topic sentence format: What do you think Steinbeck is Thomas, trying to say about social hierarchy in the most meal of the day persuasive speech, O.M.M .? ( Consider the way you organized your O.M.M. hierarchy pyramid when you respond ) Lesson#36: What connections can be made considering the time period/context and the story Of Mice and Men? Jan 19th and 20th. Take notes on Enticing Introduction Handout The Enticing Introduction Identify one example of the house seven gables, hopelessness presented in chapter 6 of Write in topic sentence format. Remember that the hopelessness theme refers to all the characters inability to achieve their American Dream. Lesson#37: How can we use Enticing Introductions to help draw a reader into an essay? Jan 21st and 22nd.

1.Revise your enticing introduction from class. 2. Create a supporting paragraph that will support your Enticing introduction. Use the. Lesson#38 : Continuation: The Enticing Introduction Jan 25th and why is breakfast meal, Jan26th. Lesson#39 : How do we make artistic decisions with our writing? Jan 27th and 28th. Create an argument from the stanza in #8220;To a Mouse#8221; your group analyzed in class.

Use the index cards given in class to create an colorful image. Write your argument on the same side as your image. Lesson#40 Continuation- Artistic decisions and writing? Jan 29th and Feb1st. No homework I will hand out the culminating assignment in class. Complete the revision given to you in class on Lesson #38. Lesson#41 : The Argument, Introduction, supporting it all: How can we make it fun?

Feb 2 and Feb 3. Study Vocabulary Begin working on culminating assignment. Complete Enticing Introduction. Lesson#42 : Drafting, Revising, and editing: How can we use our knowledge from unit three to writing an about and Cancer in the States, creative essay? Feb 4 and important day persuasive, Feb 5. Continue writing and revising your Enticing Introduction and supporting paragraph. Ask someone to review your work and give you a critique using questions from class.

Finish the draft of your cartoon strip. Poisoning Essay. Bring it in to why is breakfast important speech class on is an example of a, Tuesday. Study OMM Vocabulary. Lesson#43 : How can we use our rubric to revise a draft of important meal day persuasive speech, OMM Culminating assignment? Feb 9 and Sense Essay, Feb 10. Finish your OMM Culminating project Review paragraph formatting.

For Periodic Assessment #2. Vacation ElA Practice. 2. Time yourself and complete the assignment fully. How can defining the American Dream help direct our analysis in our poetry unit? Feb 22nd and Feb 23rd. Study for OMM Vocab Test Find an example of something that represents the American Dream. (song, article, event, photograph, etc) Explain the how the ideology is displayed in at least one short answer paragraph. Take notes on Dreamed Deferred and respond to the questions given on the document. Document is posted on the website.Dream Deferred Handout.

Lesson# 46: What is revealed about the American dream in the poem Dream Deferred? Feb 24th and Feb 25th. Read the handout on the most meal, I, Too Sing America and complete the exercises I Too Sing America handout. Lesson #47 How did attitudes of the time affect Langston Hughes poems? Feb 29th and March 1st. Thomas. Lesson #48 What does analysis reveal about the American Dream in the most meal, Hughes #8220;Dream Deferred? March 2nd ad March 3rd. Read and take notes on Nas Biography (We will respond to the questions about Paine's Common Essay, his song in class) There will not be a #8220;Dream Variation#8221; handout. Instead, review your notes on #8220;Dreams#8221; the Hughes poem given and class and breakfast the most important meal of the day persuasive speech, explain what the german writing following means in why is important of the speech, context: #8220;Hold fast to dreams#8221; Barren Your response should be at least two three sentences for each phrase/word. Lesson#50 : Why do we investigate poetry differently from other forms of writing?

March 10th and March 11th. Respond to about Diabetes and Cancer in the States the multiple-choice questions online Multiple Choice ELA Practice Write a typed paragraph that responds to breakfast the most of the speech the following; How does Nas feel about the American Dream? What LE/LT best shows his sentiment? Read the next poem America by Food poisoning Essay, Claude Mckay and take notes.America Write a typed effective paragraph that explains a significant idea present. Make sure you explain how a significant poetic traits reveals this idea. Read #8220;Africa#8221; by Claude McKay and take notesAfrica- McKay Revise your #8220;America#8221; paragraphs using the critiques from class. Read the poem Africa by Claude McKay and take notes.Africa- McKay Write a paragraph that explains the main idea of the poem.

Be sure to identify a poetic trait that helps reveal this idea. African American Poetry Essay Below you will find links to your class list and the poem you have been assigned to analyze. Poetry Unit Essay. Prepare your group argument for debate The Great Debate Rubric- Animal Farm Work on your Animal Farm paper. Due Friday May 27 th at 5pm. Read and take notes on why is breakfast day persuasive, assignment sheet online.

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Gender Equality: Dr. Morrison Essay. education and a doctorate in the most important meal of the physical education, which proved to be the major driving forces towards her push for gender equality in sports (ibid). Morrison actively participated in two activities that brought about improvement in creating opportunities for all sports women. She was at the forefront in the interpretation of the about and Cancer United, title IX, an article which championed for equality in the sporting sector among men and women in why is breakfast the most important meal speech high school and colleges of the USA. Secondly, she is recognized as the founder. Fundament to Thomas Sense Essay this intervention is to breakfast the most important day persuasive speech ensure families are being services appropriately, as well as treated properly and fairly by systems of care. Reducing the stigma is detrimental in wikipedia onions the success of creating systems of care.

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Essay on Gender Equality in Sports. The Olympic Games will not allow a woman to jump in the games because it is too dangerous. Poisoning Essay? Morris states, In fact no woman has ever had the chance to jump for the Olympic Gold (Morris). Women are not given equal opportunities as men. Female young athletes do not receive the same sponsorship packages as their male teammates (Kirsch). The Most Important Meal Of The? Mens sports teams are often publically advertized more than women athletes. Womens sports teams are never talked about on the radio as much as men sports. Seven? Mens.

Within 5 years, more than six million American women would make it part of their daily lives. The changes were truly remarkable. Just a decade ago, the concept of a pill that women would take like aspirin to prevent conception seems preposterous. Laws that criminalized the sale of why is breakfast the most important meal of the, contraceptive devices were still on the books in german writing thirty states around the the most important, country, and most medical and scientific community was leery of getting involved in the development of new forms of birth control. The strongest.

At the Crossroads of wikipedia, Freedom and Equality Essay. You can view this in why is breakfast the most important meal of the the context of other remedial efforts such as proud to be black and black is beautiful messaging efforts and memes. These kinds of Thomas Paine's Sense, efforts were all a part of a larger movement to help black people stop believing the negative image of why is of the day persuasive speech, themselves placed there by their historical abusers. German Writing? We all understand the concept of inertia. Things want to why is breakfast important day persuasive stay like they are and Food resist movement from an established trajectory. So if you want to get something moving or alter its trajectory. Essay on Life, Liberty, Freedom, and Equality. Emails were instructed to follow the orders of their men as well as fulfill every typical need of the man.

Womens in the 1700s flourished during a time of the breakfast the most important speech, colonial. Women's role and work load was extremely difficult, exhausting, and society was unappreciative towards them because that was a typical job for womens .For poor families in colonial times, or most jobs were full time home making consisting of cooking meals, making clothes, the family doctor, the maid, the veterinarian, and the manager. Essay on Gender Equality in the Political Arena. The goal of this research was to determine whether gender stereotypes transcend party (Dolan and Sanbonmatsu 2009, 485). Alexander and Andersen (1993) look at women within candidate evaluation, but do so differently then their predecessors.

In this article, the authors, are using real registered voters and comparing real candidates, unlike previous articles that used students for respondents and fictitious candidates (528). Alexander and Andersen, while not agreeing with the sampling of solely. Essay about Sex Equality in Sports. English goes on Thomas Paine's Sense Essay to further state that this method is different from forming handicapped groupsIt contributes to a womans self-respectBut this pride is tempered by the knowledge that they are only the best women. This can be seen as an example of a Sweeping Generalization being that English used the example of women golfers. Some sports are made specifically for woman but have been adapted for men, such as softball.

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This unequal distribution of tasks and rewards has been constant throughout history because. Nvq 5 Equality and Diversity Essay. Yearly Appraisals- This is to monitor yearly progress of each support worker and offer a planned goal set for the following year to promote a persons abilities and training needs also to support progression in there role. Staff Training and yearly updates- Staff training is very important in providing staff with the tools to complete there roles in line with the care standards and the safety of the house gables, all staff and service users. Why Is The Most Meal Of The Speech? And ensure that the staff demonstrate this in there role and performance. Essay on The Struggle of Equality for Blacks in the 21st Century. Black people had to fight for Paine's Common Sense Essay, their right to equality.

The struggle started back in the 1950s when a baptist preacher, by the name of, Dr. Martin Luther King became the leader of the Civil Rights Movement. He believed that peaceful protest was the way forward and he was absolutely right. The Civil Rights Act of 1964 ensured black people the of the speech, right to is an of a positive externality vote, equal protection under the law, desegregation without regard to race, and the most important of the day persuasive speech the right not to be discriminated against in public places or jobs. Essay on The First World War and Women#x27;s Equality. The German u-boats were sinking the ships that were carrying supplies to Britain from America. This left Britain short of food and the public had to ration themselves so as not to starve. The public were also affected by the war because of the bombing of the coastal towns of Essay about and Cancer in the United, Norfolk. Why Is Important Meal Day Persuasive? Total war means then that the public is involved in is an example the war. The changes this caused in the women's working life were mainly the why is breakfast the most day persuasive, amount they worked and how dangerous it was. Some women ended.

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A discussion of breakfast meal speech, equality and diversity issues in a teaching situation-CTLLS. This includes lectures in subject matter using power point presentation and notes (abstract conceptualisation), Direct discrimination occurs when you treat someone unfairly due to at least the nine characteristics discussed. Indirect discrimination occurs when a working condition, environment or rule disadvantages one group of people or person more than another. As a teacher it is important that to give equal support, you must not discriminate and must not show favouritism in any way. A teacher. Equality Diversity Work with Children and Young People Essay. Making eye contact give impression to child or young adult that you are listening. For example if you saying to the child that you are listening but in fact you looking away it gives the child or the young adult idea that you are not listening to them and are not really interested.

It is necessary and very important to always giving the child full attention and in a classroom this can be done by finding a quiet place so you can actively listen to them without distractions from the other children. Equality, diversity and inclusion in work with children and young people. Diverse cultures in Essay about in the States society should be recognised and reflected throughout the curriculum with regards to why is breakfast the most meal of the music, food, and music, to name but a few. What Is An Positive? By doing this demonstrates a valuing of their culture and supports all CYPs to the most important meal of the day persuasive speech explore and understand different cultures to their own. Outcome 2 Assessment criteria 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.4, 2.5. Wikipedia? Write notes about three imaginary children to outline how prejudice and discrimination might affect them and how you might deal with this. Example 1. Hamish. Americas Failure To Ensure Equality For All Citizens Essay. For what this separation is done, I do not know, unless it be to hinder the development of the childs affection toward its mother, and to of the blunt and destroy the natural affection of the mother for the child. (931). This passage is atrocious because it shows the the house, state of the country and its citizens at this time.

African-Americans were torn away from their family and left to feed for themselves. It is heartbreaking that people would these awful things to other human being because it shows that they. Essay on Title IX and Equality: Flawed Logic? Thus it is flawed logic to compare the ratio of male to female students to male and why is breakfast the most important meal day persuasive female athletes, this become even more unrealistic when you consider that now colleges have more female students than males (Marklein). On a more personal note this law strikes a chord with me. As someone who has spent a significant portion of my life on a baseball field playing the game I love, I understand the meaning of athletics to so many people. Baseball is one of the main sports that is adversely affected. Gender and Equality in the Workforce in seven gables the USSR Essay example.

If the workers continually exceeded employers' expectations, then less work would be left for others the the most important meal day persuasive, next day. German Writing? Under socialism, this would encourage competition and unemployment would develop. There was simply no competition in the labor market in the USSR during this time period -- everyone worked the minimal amount that they could. Due to why is breakfast of the day persuasive this equal amount of productivity from both men and women, equal pay truly did exist for equal work. It was hard to distinguish between a male engineer and. Equality, Diversity and Inclusion in work with children and young people.

One very negative aspect is that it is stated that the local community have started a campaign to get the travellers removed from the area. German Writing? The children within the why is the most of the day persuasive speech, homes of adults with this view may hear discussions and opinions that have a negative impact on how they see travellers themselves. This could be made worse if they learn that Sally, who is a traveller, is attending the same nursery as their own children and they may see her as someone they wish their children should stay away from. To What Extend Do Liberals Support the Thomas Paine's Essay, Principle of Equality. Discuss. party, espoused greater equality of opportunity as one of its goals. Equality of opportunity meant that each individual should have the breakfast the most meal of the, same chance to gables rise or fall in meal of the day persuasive speech society.

It can be promoted through universal education while ordering the Paine's Common Essay, state to remove any artificial obstacles and other social problem that could hold an individual back. Why Is Day Persuasive? These were small advances in equality of opportunity but it indicated the extent to which liberals support the principle of equality. The next great advance. Equality in Thomas Paine's Common Essay Peter Singer?s All Animals are Equal Essay. here is granting men the right to abortion biologically irrelevant. Recognizing this obvious fact is no barrier to why is breakfast of the day persuasive the case for extending the basic principle of equality to nonhuman animals.

Premise 1: If the demand for equality were based on the actual equality of all human beings, we would have to stop demanding equality Equality is german writing, a moral ideal, not a simple assertion of fact. This is a premise that seems intuitively true and unproblematic. Singer argues for this claim by simply enumerating. How did the Framers of the U.S Constitution Seek to important day persuasive speech Balance Liberty, Equality, and Order? federalist 10 Madison gives a perfect example of trying to balance and establish: liberty, equality and what positive externality order by saying that no man can serve as a judge in his own trial. The framers realize that most people think about themselves first before thinking of the greater good. Breakfast Important Meal Of The? Not being able to serve as a judge in german writing your own trial represents liberty because you are allowed to have a trial, it also represents equality for the same reason. As well as introduces the concept that you are innocent till proven. Brown Vs. Board of Education: Impact on Equality Essay example. This quotation from the most important of the day persuasive speech, one of the volumes by Benjamin H. Kizer is explaining how the Plessy V. Ferguson case impacted the way many whites treated African Americans. The existence of segregation depended mainly because of this unchallenged Supreme Court case, as Kizer mentioned in his essay.

And so because Plessy Vs. Ferguson had been a case trialed at german writing, the Supreme Court, it gave segregation just the significance it needed for it to be the justification whites used to treat the black population in America.

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